ES Journal - 2019/2020

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- 3 % day used to be a big deal. Now it's a slow day. :)

Anyway - there's been quite a few days recently opening strongly down, but sporting a strong leg up.

You're leaning short from here...?

Slow? I guess I'm getting old :D

Still leaning short, but maybe only because my boss just tested positive :( Well, and then, there's this

upload_2020-3-27_15-25-41.png
 
I'll be missing the long if it takes off from here and doesn't come back. Just not willing to risk my gains, kind of dumb as I am up so can afford to take a trade, but it would be rare for 2480 on ES not to be filled, so just going to play the probabilities.
 
Still leaning short, but maybe only because my boss just tested positive :(

Ouch.

Well, and then, there's this

Have you done a lot of testing on these and determined if they have a predictive value for the day ahead?

I'm only watching the TICK among those. It's trending higher and seems to mostly spending time above zero. But it's a bit mixed so far...

IMO - it's starting to look a bit dangerous below now. Shouldn't drop much below 17 here to trigger a drop.
 
Have you done a lot of testing on these and determined if they have a predictive value for the day ahead?

Not really, but unless I see a change in the tendency (the proportion) I'm leaning short, you can sail against the wind, but it's easier to just go with the flow.

But hey, I know nothing.
 
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