ES Journal - 2019/2020

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Overnight said:
Hey, Vanz, why am I not getting credit for being WRONG all the time? WTF man? You are not being fair here.
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Because for being wrong, you are a mere amateur! Nobody is more wrong than me. In trading, in any human decision, in any place, time, or dimension. The Most Wrong title belongs to me. Or we fight! After all, how else am I going to win for losing?

Here is a conundrum: If we fight for the title of Most Wrong and I lose, who really deserves the title?

Edit: Deleted left over sentence from unpublished post.
 
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maximumpossiblesuffering said:
Dud so far. Maybe some action after


Because for being wrong, you are a mere amateur! Nobody is more wrong than me...
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Mmm, I'll have to disagree with you there. I've been eyeing your journal on and off, and you've been making good calls in there I believe. But IIRC, you do options mostly? So I get lost on that bit. Spreads and whatnot with calls/put. No sir, I win.
 
Utah said:
Looking at the monthly chart, this just looks like a normal pull-back on a continuing uptrend. Am I the only one who thinks this thing is going to climb tomorrow, and perhaps just continue on its climb northward thereafter?

I'm not naive, though. I understand that markets can't go up forever. But this just doesn't look like the end of the world to me...yet.


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That's an EVENING STAR reversal candle formation. It's already being "touted" elsewhere. Problem with that chart read is... evening star is a 3 candle formation. So on the monthly, there is a whole month to go to even have certainty the formation will actually be a correct interpretation. Step right up and place your bets is all it is. LOL!

Along the same line of non-signal/non-trigger "stuff", I've mentioned before buy the full moon, flatten on the new moon. Over time it outperforms. LOL! Today, 7/31/19 is a new moon. LOL!!

My primary analysis, volume-based, appears to have put in at least a short-term bottom. New day, new month... tomorrow we'll see. I trade intraday, and am flat at the end of each day, so whichever way the wind blows is the way I move.
 
tenny1886 said:
i checked some long term charts last night and looks like a mini crash around 40-80 points is in the wroks, but not until we get to upper 3k 30's. thats just my take on it, and yes after watching a lot and trying to figure it out, i got a headache so i could be wrong as i did half azz research. he he
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nearly got it right, went to 3029.50 and did crash around 80 points. massive drop. july 18th . post # 8839
 
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tenny1886 said:
"i checked some long term charts last night and looks like a mini crash around 40-80 points is in the wroks, but not until we get to upper 3k 30's. "

That is a much PRICISE and TIMELY CALL!
 
Overnight said:
Hey, Vanz, why am I not getting credit for being WRONG all the time? WTF man? You are not being fair here.
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Because ON.... several reasons.
1) You are actually trading real money.
2) You admit when you're wrong.
3) You have a sense of humor and you are the first to cast stones at yourself.
4) You post actual charts that originate from actual trading software and not the Yahoo/Finviz 15 minute delayed charts.
5) You post your "blotter" (I still say that's an antiquated word NQ) win or lose.
6) And last but not least.... There is no way... even if you picked your trades by throwing darts at a moving target while drunk and dropping acid in a mirror funhouse.... you will never match the batting average of @Buy1Sell2 in the "how wrong can you fucking be" competition.
 
vanzandt said:
...You post actual charts that originate from actual trading software and not the Yahoo/Finviz 15 minute delayed charts...
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K, so I am a loser in trading, and I can't win in the "worst loser category". So I am a double-loser. I can take that heat, sure.

But regarding the quote above, who is doing that with the Finviz/Yahoo delayed chart thing? I do not know what those charts look like, but I have been having suspicions that some folks here are posting odd-ball charts like that, and not from trading software in real-time..
 
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