ES Journal - 2019/2020

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Just saw this now nenuser ... you'll have to come up with your own plan for taking profits, but +2, 3,4 etc are easy choices depending on volatility, how much room to support/resistance, etc.

In hindsight, of course, I would have taken partials at 37.50/37.75 as there had been a series of high closes at 37.75 (red arrows) and high prints (yellow arrows) at that price. I'd have taken the rest off at the retest of the morning high. Afgain, lest anyone forget, this is in hindsight.

The first ellipse is where I was buying, and I covered in the 37's ... the reason was I am not feeling well ... something hit me this afternoon and I am wiped out. Otherwise I'd have followed my typical plan and held through the pullback and sold MOC (unless 32.50 had broke and price couldn't get back above that price quickly, in which case I have taken my loss).

I think you did a great job spotting that set up - it is very common and while your first entry was a bit early as you said, I too scale in often and did so today because there is no guarantee price will come all the way to your preferred entry level, especially when the NQ is leading the way up. Context is always important to keep in mind - so long as it is the market's context, and not made up context from between your ears.

Nicely done, I'd say :thumbsup: ... My entire trading plan is based around that entry and variations of it. If you don't mind a hindsight chart I'll try to mark the whole day so you can see what I look at ... as some crank is sure to come along and tell you - it will do you no good as it is hindsight, but since every chart is hindsight by the time you get it, what's the difference, right? I'll post it ater tonight or tomorrow depending upon how I feel. Like I said, right now I am not feeling so hot.

Nice trading!

View attachment 201350

thanks so much for the detailed explanation. I appreciate it.

Yes! absolutely, I would love a hindsight chart. I don’t care if its hindsight or not, the concepts repeat itself.

hope you feel better soon
 
Bear market??? Don't know how people create their novel definition.

Lets use SPY as a broad gauge to measure the market. The previous all time high was on Sept 20th 2018 reaching 293.94; now it is 293.14, but add the two dividends 1.43 in Dec 18 and 1.23 in March 19 (regardless of the dividend 1.32 on Sept 21st), then the actual price for SPY is 295.80. ALL time high, 1.86 higher than the previous all time high.
 
Not sure how much I'll be trading much less posting today as I have come down with some sort swine flu or anthrax something ... I blame it on the fumy white powder I got in the mail from a disgruntled Bear yesterday.

Mystery in the MIddle.JPG


I assume highs and lows are obvious to all but for those 90% who don't know up from down, so I did not bother to strike lines at those extremes. What I did here was threw some levels in the mystery in the middle, i.e. "noise" or "chop" to the uninitiated, that may or may not be areas that result in trades for me. Most of my trades during a bull swing are longs ... intraday downtrends are periods of me waiting for a signal to get long.

These are all hindsight in that the data is already present, which is the only way I could identify these as potentially relevant. What I do not know is whether or not any of these levels will in fact be relevant during the course of the day.

None of these are predictions or calls or fortune telling - Unfortunately I do not have access to those special future charts that some here do.

Also not pictured is the yesterday RTH HWB which by my reckoning is around 2926. If we make new RTH highs before a pullback I will adjust the HWB for today to reflect that new high. Right now high to Globex low HWB is 35.75 if my brain fog hasn't ruined me for basic math.

FWIW I do not necessarily mark my charts like this before the bell, though I will draw a line here and there throughout the day.

Good luck y'all!
 
Looking to sell below 2935. Bear market rally is displaying topping action here.---I believe that a drop below there has a potential of at least a 20 pt selloff intraday. Conditions will have to be just righ, as usual, for me to take a trade below 35
 
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Not sure how much I'll be trading much less posting today as I have come down with some sort swine flu or anthrax something ... I blame it on the fumy white powder I got in the mail from a disgruntled Bear yesterday.

View attachment 201381

I assume highs and lows are obvious to all but for those 90% who don't know up from down, so I did not bother to strike lines at those extremes. What I did here was threw some levels in the mystery in the middle, i.e. "noise" or "chop" to the uninitiated, that may or may not be areas that result in trades for me. Most of my trades during a bull swing are longs ... intraday downtrends are periods of me waiting for a signal to get long.

These are all hindsight in that the data is already present, which is the only way I could identify these as potentially relevant. What I do not know is whether or not any of these levels will in fact be relevant during the course of the day.

None of these are predictions or calls or fortune telling - Unfortunately I do not have access to those special future charts that some here do.

Also not pictured is the yesterday RTH HWB which by my reckoning is around 2926. If we make new RTH highs before a pullback I will adjust the HWB for today to reflect that new high. Right now high to Globex low HWB is 35.75 if my brain fog hasn't ruined me for basic math.

FWIW I do not necessarily mark my charts like this before the bell, though I will draw a line here and there throughout the day.

Good luck y'all!


Really appreciate you taking the time to share charts and knowledge with us mere mortals here.
 
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