ES Journal - 2019/2020

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5 minute is showing a potential long with a buy stop at 7304.

FWIW, that set up is almost always worth 10 points from the entry. Almost. So most of the time I'd expect NQ to trade 7714 before it trades 7697.50. Not a sure thing .... this is a probability bidness don't you know. I'd rather be long from 697 than 704, regardless.

EDIT: There are Algo's long this trade as well and from prices better than I got (I'm just a human being, after all). If The Money decides to let this play out, my guess is that the target is 7717.75/18
 
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Current NQ trade long 7697.50 first target is now close at 7703.75 ... Large chart is the 5 minute showing where I am long and the little inset of candles below are 500 tick chart bars or so. 5 minute is showing a potential long with a buy stop at 7304. If it triggers, I'll be selling half into those buy stops. If it doesn't get there, it only cost me $40/contract to find out. The folks buying 7704 (if it gets there) will have the same stop loss as I 7697.50, but their risk is $165/contract.

Target just filled, the rest are runners looking for +10, +15, +20 points ...

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thanks so much! I really appreciate it. I am reading all your thread replies trying to learn more too :)
 
I had to settle for 2900.25 ... they just weren't going to let 99.75 show on the bid just yet. Soon enough ... maybe
2900.25.JPG


Took some +3's to make sure the trade would be paid for and profitable no matter what happens.

EDIT: By +3's I mean points, not ticks lol
 
thanks so much! I really appreciate it. I am reading all your thread replies trying to learn more too :)

The real learning takes place by sitting and watching every tick day after day for a little while. Take notes, watch for patterns (and I do not here mean necessarily chart patterns - though they can be useful as well). I mean patterns such as how many times does the ES try to push lower before a low is in and the market closes off the lows? Same at the high ... and by how many ticks does it probe a prior low or high? Is there a pattern there as well.

Watch your halfway backs, and remember that the market does love symmetry.

There you go, that's everything I know. Good Luck!
 
Actually heading back up quicker this time. Dip buyers in NQ are still buying. So keep doing whats been working.....Buy the dips.

Germany PMI and everything else will bounce slightly end April, and May is the end... Watch US Shale Industry, I have a hunch big big news will come out very soon, followed by lawsuits =)

 
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