ES Journal - 2019/2020

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This is roughly the 6th time that the 2820 door has been knocked on from below. Conventional wisdom shows that each time it's hit and no full follow through, that it gets stronger. --and once thru and support established it becomes a new strong floor. Which will it be this time?
--and here we are again at 2820 from below. This is the 7th time.
 
Those Brooks trader's have been stopped on three consecutive longs on the NQ ... they usually do not have a stomach for a 4th in my experience, but once in a while they do just that ... and ES is what is propping things up it would seem. So we'll see who's gonna play boss for the last 90 minutes today.

I'm going to try to lighten the load just a tad if I can get filled covers at 13.50
Who are Brooks traders ?
thanks
 
Who are Brooks traders ?
thanks

Brooks traders are traders who trade Al Brook's set ups mechanically on 5 minute charts. It goes something like this: If ES appears to be in an uptrend, and pulls back, then the first 5 minute bar that trades higher than the previous 5 minute bar is a High 1(H1) set up. Some Brooks trader's buy that higher bar high expecting the up trend to resume. Many times the pullback has two legs, so that H1 might be stopped out when price trades below the low of either the set up bar or the trigger bar. Now, the next time a 5 minute bar trades higher than the previous bar, there is now an High 2 (H2) set up. Brooks traders buy that higher bar high anticipating the trend to resume.

It is a fairly reliable set up assuming one knows the difference between a trend and a range, and also that one can tell when a pullback is simply a pullback, or when the pullback is the result of price running into potentially formidable resistance.

Sometimes, these trades fail one after another, and so there may be a sequence of long attempts that get stopped out: H1, H2, H3, H4 ... Typically if the 4 th fails, even the dullest realize that the up trend is likely over. Today, for the NQ, the fourth time was the charm:
Trigger Bars were: bar ending 13:50 H1, trigger bar ending 14:30 H2 stopped out, trigger bar ending 14:50 stopped out, and finally trigger bar would have bought on stop at 33.25, with a profit target of MOC of approx 46.50

When two of these type of entries fail, especially if a short fails, then the ensuing move can be quite quick as stops get triggered and traders who trade without stops are forced to cover as the market steams higher.

FULL DISCLOSURE: I do not trade Brook's set ups and any trades I take that match one of his mechanical set ups is purely coincidental. But I do use their failures to guage the current tendency of the market, e.g. I had a post earlier where I mentioned new shorts at 8 with stops at 11> I expected that short to fail, and the PA once the stops were hit was textbook Low 2 (L2) failure (L1, and L2 are simply the downtrend analogues to the above mentioned H1 and H2). None of this is meant to disparage Brooks or those who use his methods. I am making no judgments.
 
Thanks..sometimes it takes an H3, H4 etc. to fuel the move..
my NQ/ES indicator was not weak enough to stay in short at 235 edt..it initially confirmed a reversal, but then began flattening..normally, if a trend looks to begin from a climax, my indicator follows suit..
it gave the oppty to cover or go long as low as 2812.25 ..

I'll try to post some charts next few days explaining ..
 
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