ES Journal - 2019/2020

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The stimulus checks will not make it out to everyone timely. Unemployment benefits will take months for the state to clear backlog. This lagging effect will cascade down to the economy. The peak of infections are not even here. People will tighten up spending considerably. This recovery will not be quick. Markets probably just realized that and setting up a trap for sure. Trying to stamp higher highs on the chart to lure in people. I will bet within 2-3 weeks, we will test the low or put on new lows.
 
The stimulus checks will not make it out to everyone timely. Unemployment benefits will take months for the state to clear backlog. This lagging effect will cascade down to the economy. The peak of infections are not even here. People will tighten up spending considerably. This recovery will not be quick. Markets probably just realized that and setting up a trap for sure. Trying to stamp higher highs on the chart to lure in people. I will bet within 2-3 weeks, we will test the low or put on new lows.
I think it will be a lot shorter than 2-3 weeks--more like next week. By next week (or maybe even this weekend), we will know for sure just how many rents and mortgages have gone unpaid.
 
I think it will be a lot shorter than 2-3 weeks--more like next week. By next week (or maybe even this weekend), we will know for sure just how many rents and mortgages have gone unpaid.

But it will take at least 2 to 3 before Washington realizes the peasants are coming, pitchforks, torches and all.
 
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