ES Journal - 2017/2018

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I am bearish too. NDX already opened below its daily SMA and the SPX is only 2-3 points from it.

I have to change my view, I think we will break upward now. There is a very straight trendline and that is just asking for it.
 

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Just to play devils advocate to all the bears in here...diluted instruments have been showing a lot of false patterns in shorter time frames. The options activity though has been unusually bullish. We've chopped around all week (which is a continuation of the last few months), but the options market suggests it's looking for a move upwards. We have option expiry today constraining prices (and suggests more chop and narrow range), but it will take only a gentle push up on this to trigger a lot of buying next week.
 
Oh....hey, I did save this image from yesterday afternoon regarding the options flow:
optvolume.jpg


Note only 4 of those put / call ratios are above 1--none touch 2. And look at the volume relative to average
 
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