ES Journal - 2017/2018

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Configure your software for hard stops. It's extremely easy to get married to position. It's one of the hardest habits to break that I went through.

Agree. It's first time for me in a long time breaking the stop rule. I have rules for a reason.

Good thing is not a big drawdown and can get back to business.
 
Agree. It's first time for me in a long time breaking the stop rule. I have rules for a reason.

Good thing is not a big drawdown and can get back to business.


The reason you cut them short, the market is doing something unexpected or diverged from your model. When it diverges, it essentially can have major contrary slippage. The model your using may be similar to others, so your position fails other positions are failing, and it forces a cascade of exits. So can be excellent entry versus a exit.

It's much harder to make back the slippage. Stop losses signify model failure. And when they get triggered have immense informational value.
 
The reason you cut them short, the market is doing something unexpected or diverged from your model. When it diverges, it essentially can have major contrary slippage. The model your using may be similar to others, so your position fails other positions are failing, and it forces a cascade of exits. So can be excellent entry versus a exit.

It's much harder to make back the slippage. Stop losses signify model failure. And when they get triggered have immense informational value.

Good insight and lesson learned. Not sure what I was thinking at the time. A stop is a stop and is there for a reason.

Since I started posting on May 3rd....gross +14.5 pts, net +12.5...this last trade cost me 18.5 pts+comms...expensive tuition
 
Filled

Profit target hit, net +7

ES seems to have a quantitative moving average of behavior. Previous behavior implies future behavior, till an event breaks the behavior. The new behavior becomes factored into future price patterns. Only thing one can do is create model of existing behavior.
 
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prior session levels
 

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