ES Journal - 2016

Are we going down due to TL break?

I look at the past to see patterns.. all the major indexes broke trendies, doesn't mean we shoot down.. just might range trade here. No one is willing to buy the garbage. In this climate who will buy NFLX at 105 or greater? With ludicrous policies, even the common investor has wisened up. Many are sitting in cash. There is a sense of unease in whats happening globally.
 
I look at the past to see patterns.. all the major indexes broke trendies, doesn't mean we shoot down.. just might range trade here. No one is willing to buy the garbage. In this climate who will buy NFLX at 105 or greater? With ludicrous policies, even the common investor has wisened up. Many are sitting in cash. There is a sense of unease in whats happening globally.

If garbage makes a better return than cash, then hell yeah, I'd put money into 'garbage'. BTW NFLX is 97+ bucks now. Overall I agree with bearish analysis, but you posted daily charts and based on those I view them as still rather bullish.
 
I look at the past to see patterns.. all the major indexes broke trendies, doesn't mean we shoot down.. just might range trade here. No one is willing to buy the garbage. In this climate who will buy NFLX at 105 or greater? With ludicrous policies, even the common investor has wisened up. Many are sitting in cash. There is a sense of unease in whats happening globally.

Garbage, is another mans treasure. If there's risk capital than there will be buyers.
 
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market makers have a ton of inventory.. they are desperately trying not to liquidate inventory at a loss, since its zero sum, only thing they can do is hope to redistribute in consolidation zone, or continue to hit stops above. Counter parties to market makers inventory are less solvent, so all they have to do is move price beyond solvency point on a temporal basis to hit counter party stops to force counter party to buy garbage up above.

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Market makers? in es? don't think there are any.
 
Market makers? in es? don't think there are any.

market makers in general that provide liquidity, will have exposure on the long side. To make money on that exposure easiest thing is to goose futures up on low volume and unload equity exposure at higher levels. If they have net 50 billion exposure, use 2 billion at night to goose futures up and unload that 50 billion in different share types.
 
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