Only observe and trade the what.
Exactly.
The why is generally not important. I think peoples theories of why this and why that gets in the way of understanding the what or the 'Is' as one prominent member of this board once called it.
Only observe and trade the what.
The verifiable why is always important! Try shorting the Russell when the home sales are strong or try shorting the ES when oil catches a bid. Probabilities increase when the verifiable support the technical signals.
I don't know about the home sales, but certainly oil and index futures have decoupled on many occassions. The same with correlation between even NQ and ES. So, if something works only once in a while - what's the use?
yes, oil has found a bottom for now.Bottoming out in this area and a new (daily) high by EOD?