I also have a short position based on monthly chart (posted in another thread), it was badly timed, yet properly adjusted for risk. A lot of posters suggests a repetitive cycle (Xmas rally, FED will save the day, QE will be back and markets will rally, etc.) I just see patterns that I trade on shorter time frames and now they are on monthly charts across the board I have to be totally unbiased and sell. Market does whatever it wants to do, all we can do is establish a way of seeing footprints and following.