ES Journal - 2014

Yeah, I'm just not a fan of the boasting. Everyone needs to be humbled eventually, and boldly proclaiming that the market "MUST" go up is just asking for an eventual beatdown.

Some of the best advice I ever received about trading was that I should expect to lose money, not make it. If that is the mentality, then a plan can be built around entering where there is the best chance of losing the lowest amount. Entering the market expecting to make money every time is exactly how you get caught holding the bag.

This is what kills my average pnl. Averaging into a position that is too large for my account is a habit I must change if I want to preserve my account. I know eventually it will catch up with me but it is still difficult to cut a losing position when I know the position will revert to profitability.

I have been on the long side because I've found entries at perceived lower risk levels. However, I transitioned into a short position "knowing" that price will retrace/gap fill eventually. Initial day trade position became a swing trade and my averaging ended up in a size that made me nervous. Due to margin restraints, the position was reduced at an unfavorable price today. I ended the trade in the black; however, I missed much more in opportunity costs as the last few days presented itself with solid opportunities.

Anyway, I presume most here already have vast experience regarding risks. I guess I feel compelled to share my experience as a warning to the novice traders who read this thread. You are not alone in your experience.

btw, thanks for your post of the market profile image, Ammo. I always look forward to your posts.
 
try to keep it simple, if you divide acct by 12, that is your monthly loss limit,will keep you in biz for 12 months, where ever that number is, there is always solace in knowing that you are 11 months away from busting out, there is an adage that , why me, ... it was just your turn, take the lick and move on
 
Not sure if this has been said before, but unless units are specified, the averages are ambiguous.

Sorry.
It is always 1 unit each time

"Amber" alert:

BrianHarvey is missing from this thread since this Morning. Last time he was seen, he was averaging down ES like there's no tomorrow. :D

I hadn't averaged in even once when you posted this :)
Maybe you missed me close and post the previous trade for +5 ES points?
cheers
 
One little decline and the pessimism comes out of the woodworks...it never fails

Who cares about planes and gaza, these markets are so detached from reality it hardly matters anymore. Medias always desparately trying to rationalise market behavior, creating correlations where there is none, instilling as much fear as possible in people to keep them reading...nothing new under the sun.

This is just business as usual. BTFD
 
One little decline and the pessimism comes out of the woodworks...it never fails

Who cares about planes and gaza, these markets are so detached from reality it hardly matters anymore. Medias always desparately trying to rationalise market behavior, creating correlations where there is none, instilling as much fear as possible in people to keep them reading...nothing new under the sun.

This is just business as usual. BTFD

Regrettably, I would have to agree :(
 
One little decline and the pessimism comes out of the woodworks...it never fails

Who cares about planes and gaza, these markets are so detached from reality it hardly matters anymore. Medias always desparately trying to rationalise market behavior, creating correlations where there is none, instilling as much fear as possible in people to keep them reading...nothing new under the sun.

This is just business as usual. BTFD

Yea the only thing that matters is the FED, little else matters.
 
One little decline and the pessimism comes out of the woodworks...it never fails

Hehe. People who have been wrong most days for about 5 years now come out of the woodwork on the occasional down day as if to claim some sort of victory! :D
Cracks me up!
 
Before people get too excited, it's worth pointing out that the SPX is still well above the 50 DMA, and this is still very much a bull market.
 
actionzip54it has always3999862 said:
Did we trade 45.5?

Edit: Also so much butt hurt and gloating in this threa. Whyright now.....

It's not just now but always. Most traders by nature have larger than normal egos. I know I do and I accept that.
 
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