ES Journal - 2012

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Quote from Trvlwanderer:

No need for ignore, that list is full of nitwits.

Just looking for some follow-up as some of your posts are criptic in nature.

All techniques and triggers work until they don't work...that is the only constant.

here is a billion dollar holy grail.. I'm giving this away. When you succeed at it, put some money in a trust and teach your kids the same concept.

it can be applied to any market, and take advantage of a weakness in price, (that price needs to oscillate / variance). Thats the edge. Price variance.
 

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a human being can't implement the system manually.. If your price outlier is not a outlier, death by a thousand cuts. A algo can take 20 consecutive minor losses and 1 large gain, that pays for 20 and then some.

human nature, we dont have the speed or psychology to implement it. Ultimately thats what every disciplined trader tries to do:

1) entry (price outlier)
2) exit minor loss
3) exit large gain multiples of accumulated minor losses.


ammo market profile is good at looking at past outliers. trendlines/support resistance also provides input into future outliers.
 
Quote from Spectre2007:

a human being can't implement the system manually.. If your price outlier is not a outlier, death by a thousand cuts. A algo can take 20 consecutive minor losses and 1 large gain, that pays for 20 and then some.

human nature, we dont have the speed or psychology to implement it. Ultimately thats what every disciplined trader tries to do:

1) entry (price outlier)
2) exit minor loss
3) exit large gain multiples of accumulated minor losses.


ammo market profile is good at looking at past outliers. trendlines/support resistance also provides input into future outliers.

So you are eluding that you have a great system that only you posses and therefore what?

Should we pm you for additional info? Maybe a link? Maybe a software program for a few bucks?

This is nonsensical spectre. You post in quasi code but share nothing. Maybe my decades of experience in the markets is too immature for this enlightenment.

Cheers and have a very Merry Christmas in Dubai. I will be there in a few weeks.
 
Quote from Spectre2007:

price outlier ......................(key)

spectre,

can you elaborate what you mean by 'price outlier'?

is it a 'fat tail', a price movement off of failed mean reversion? or?

thanks,
tihfa
 
Quote from Trvlwanderer:

So you are eluding that you have a great system that only you posses and therefore what?

Should we pm you for additional info? Maybe a link? Maybe a software program for a few bucks?

This is nonsensical spectre. You post in quasi code but share nothing. Maybe my decades of experience in the markets is too immature for this enlightenment.

Cheers and have a very Merry Christmas in Dubai. I will be there in a few weeks.

I've revealed a concept, in your decades of wisdom accumulated you could easily workout the details. Just revealing the concept is altruistic on my part, but you took it as if I'm trying to hock something for a few bucks, get serious.

The fact that 'market direction' is taken out of the picture is very counterintuitive, almost 100% of the trades posted are based off of market direction. The need to be right on market direction traps most everyone.
 
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