ES Journal - 2012

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Quote from Ramp:

Just heard CNBC recommend long SDS, lol.

Just got long NQ at 2518 (with a 2510 protective put) - looking for +100 points. Will see...

Closed the NQ at 2530. Going to hold the put and will re-enter the NQ at 2490-2500 if we can get there.
 
Quote from Laissez Faire:

Translate please.

a flash crash is driven by a mindset that is irrational when any participant steps in to mean revert they get burned, so the mean reversion players step away and trend traders dominate.

trend traders reset at session closure. Daily trend traders stay in till current daily play runs out steam.. (dec 31st)
 
I still don`t quite follow, but not worries.

I`m done for the day, but I`m interested to see if my predictions for the close will work out. Basically, I`m expecting this day to close red, with 40 still as a possible target.

If I was very confident, I would have backed it with money, but I`m not, as I`m just starting to work with this type of prediction. Just fun for now. :)
 
Quote from Laissez Faire:

I still don`t quite follow, but not worries.

I`m done for the day, but I`m interested to see if my predictions for the close will work out. Basically, I`m expecting this day to close red, with 40 still as a possible target.

If I was very confident, I would have backed it with money, but I`m not, as I`m just starting to work with this type of prediction. Just fun for now. :)

if we are making predictions, my guess would be 1362 as a minimum.
 
Quote from Laissez Faire:

I would have backed it with money, but I`m not, as I`m just starting to work with this type of prediction. Just fun for now. :)
discipline wins the game in the end
 
Quote from Laissez Faire:

I`ve seen stranger things happen in the market, but I just don`t see it today.

Any particular reason why?

1) We are oversold on dailies.
2) There was intense buying at 1005-1015.
3) Again there was good buying post 1300.

So, I won't be surprised if we see another round of intense buying around close and it pushes the price up.

However, the lull after 1405 is not very convincing for a ramp up close scenario.
 
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