Your selection is definitely closer, so in terms of mathematical probability you might be right, on the other hand based on global economic events, including the US, I believe Higher Highs and potential Lower Highs should be shorted for a breach of 1400s.
It's just that unfortunately, games are played, which is why the need to add is mandatory. ie Ammo, arguably most successful TRANSPARENT trader in this journal.
truth be told, spectre and handle could trade circles around me,and countless traders before them, they just don't (rarely)post their trades,you could say i post the most though