ES Journal - 2012

Status
Not open for further replies.
Quote from MarketOwl:

Interesting that you bring that up. I made a post on this selloff feeling like a bear market in my blog today.


Bear Market Prelude

This is bear market action. Something feels different this time, the fact that we don't capitulate, we drip down in drabs with traders playing for a bounce and hoping for a rally to sell into. This never happened in the selloffs in 2009, 2010, 2011. We always had quick selloffs with big down days thrown in regularly. And the selloffs were never this calm and collected and continuous. We are down 120 points in 2 weeks and there is no capitulation. No really big selloff days, limited volatility intraday, just steady selling with rallies dying within hours, not even one day. I think we have to get down to 1260 before we can get a real bounce. The bagholders are just weighing down on this market and the smart money is steadily dumping their holdings.

Good stuff. Bagholders might get some relief tomorrow. Good for the short term ones, bad for the longer term ones cause it will give them hope that the turn is finally here. But then again, what do I know. I am a fish swimming with great white sharks everyday.
 
Quote from mastacoli71:

Timing was my key. I'd spot an opening, hit it, and jump back. In and out, in and out, bob and weave, a point here, a point there. I didn't take wild swings, because I never wanted to do anything that would jeopardize my family's security. I outpointed the market by trying to win every round, and if I could help it, I never put myself into a position where I could be knocked out.

This is an excellent post, and summarizes the approach that I have been trying to implement in my trading recently. Rather than swinging for the fences on every trade, I am trying to manage my risk effectively, and catch profits where I can.

I have become willing to scratch a trade that doesn't work the way my setup tells me it should, in order to prevent a large loss from damaging my account, and my psyche. I often exit trades that turn out to be profitable in hindsight, in which case I remind myself that I don't have a crystal ball, and the only ones who can predict the future are those with the ability to control it. I never remember the ones I missed, but the blowup trades I have made are forever etched in the dark corners of my mind.

Too many times we become fixated on winning at all costs, and that forces us to make poor decisions. As traders we must accept the fact that we WILL lose, it's just the nature of the beast. Imagine a golfer that would only play if he knew he was the best in the field, and then would quit after a bad round, or even a few bad shots.

Trading is simple, but not easy. It comes down to having a system that has been proven to have an edge over time, managing risk effectively, and controlling the emotions that come with risking our money against the best of the best. It is one of the hardest things I have ever done, but also one of the most rewarding.

:cool:
 
Quote from keeptradin':

Long ES @ 1297, target 1304, stop 1293.50.

The correct entry would have been 1295, as that was a 50% level. I did not pull the trigger there, as we were below the pivot point. Instead I waited for confirmation on a break above the PP.

The long squeeze pullback to 93.75 just missed my stop by a tick...bastards! :p

A break above 99 should give some upside to the R1 level at 1304.
 
still holding small position from overnight -dumping 1/2 here for 10 -time will tell on remainder
Quote from creekboy:

missed by 6 ticks -flat -for the short -will leave the 88.75 long sit and see
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top