Quote from gmst:
Thanks King. Your commentary is very appreciated.
But above theory doesn't answer why Wave thinks today was a good day to short market. 800 pound gorilla - fed has spoken - they gave free money to bank desks for 1 more year (from 2013 to 2014). Gold, Copper etc. everything reacted in view of this news.
So, which 800 pound gorilla is going to sell today ? - some big prop desk at a bank, some macro hf ? how does wave know that today will be the day, when S&P will go down? That was what I was asking. I was basically trying to pick up one or two words of 'specific' wisdom, like whats so special about 'today', that wave felt today we will go down. Thats all I was wondering.
S/he doesn't know. S/he's making an educated guess based on trendlines, maybe cyclical stuff, and it may be a very educated guess. But it is nothing more (or less) than that. No magic there. Really.
