Closed 10 ARD June 55 calls at $2.65 profit of $424.10;
Still holding 10 CRM June 70 calls
Closed 15 NTES June 25 calls at $0.45 for loss of -69%, ($1537.50).
For the bull call spread: Closed long 25 calls at $0.45 and short 30 calls covered at $0.10 for loss of -65%, and ($376.80).
And that's my point there: the loss is nearly identical, but on a long call, the profit is unlimited, compared to a limited profit for the bull call spread. I still agree that over a longer period, the risk of the bull call spread will become much lower, but in the game of earnings, long calls and puts brings in the most profit for the risk.
About 2 years ago, I had bought OVTI calls ahead of earnings, and got a great response from another option trader who did a bull put spread on OVTI ahead of earnings. He asked why I didn't hedge against a possible IV crush, and it came out that we saw OVTI through different eyes. He saw support in OVTI below that should not break, and I saw OVTI breaking resistance and pushing higher. Turns out, OVTI blew away numbers, and jumped 20-25% putting me into a 300-400% winner. He also made a nice 50-60% gain. And we were both happy with the trade. I guess my point is that it's up to the trader. If you have a safe mentality, then play it safe and hedge. My only hedge against such trades is risk management, where I use no more than 7% of total account weight. Overall, I have found that winners average 130% in gains while losers average 65% in gains always giving me a nice 2:1 risk ratio.
As I say it, NTES gave me that -69% loss, right about average, and now I'll see if CRM can hold and push higher and give me that 100-150% gain.
Overall net gain/loss is now at $672.10 since 5/14/08.
ZUMZ and ARO report tonight, but retail stocks are highly unpredictable, and 1 good earning report can be misleading....so I'm off on new trades until next week, unless the Agricultural stocks start pushing higher again (such as AGU, MOS, CF, MON to name a few). Also like VIP and JOYG ahead of their earnings in the next 2 weeks.
I'll update on CRM close once closed.
Still holding 10 CRM June 70 calls
Closed 15 NTES June 25 calls at $0.45 for loss of -69%, ($1537.50).
For the bull call spread: Closed long 25 calls at $0.45 and short 30 calls covered at $0.10 for loss of -65%, and ($376.80).
And that's my point there: the loss is nearly identical, but on a long call, the profit is unlimited, compared to a limited profit for the bull call spread. I still agree that over a longer period, the risk of the bull call spread will become much lower, but in the game of earnings, long calls and puts brings in the most profit for the risk.
About 2 years ago, I had bought OVTI calls ahead of earnings, and got a great response from another option trader who did a bull put spread on OVTI ahead of earnings. He asked why I didn't hedge against a possible IV crush, and it came out that we saw OVTI through different eyes. He saw support in OVTI below that should not break, and I saw OVTI breaking resistance and pushing higher. Turns out, OVTI blew away numbers, and jumped 20-25% putting me into a 300-400% winner. He also made a nice 50-60% gain. And we were both happy with the trade. I guess my point is that it's up to the trader. If you have a safe mentality, then play it safe and hedge. My only hedge against such trades is risk management, where I use no more than 7% of total account weight. Overall, I have found that winners average 130% in gains while losers average 65% in gains always giving me a nice 2:1 risk ratio.
As I say it, NTES gave me that -69% loss, right about average, and now I'll see if CRM can hold and push higher and give me that 100-150% gain.
Overall net gain/loss is now at $672.10 since 5/14/08.
ZUMZ and ARO report tonight, but retail stocks are highly unpredictable, and 1 good earning report can be misleading....so I'm off on new trades until next week, unless the Agricultural stocks start pushing higher again (such as AGU, MOS, CF, MON to name a few). Also like VIP and JOYG ahead of their earnings in the next 2 weeks.
I'll update on CRM close once closed.