Equity Hedging - A Simple Overlay System

Quote from FrankSlaughtery:

i could go on for hours w/ diff scenarios but bottom line hedging costs money, there is no way around it (if you've found one i've loved to hear it) and it is absolutely necessary if you want to be around long term b/c there WILL be another black swan, but we just don't know when.

Collars impose upside limitation of profits to the equity portfolio. That would be the major drawback against the primary objective of investing/trading, that causes a problem whether an astute investor/trader wants to use collars or not. Common investors/traders, who earn only small returns, could not afford to use collars. My personal guess is the practical use of collars would be usually limited to coporate hedging space.

Besides, the short (index) calls sold after getting into ITM just before explosive movements would have a rare/unusual risk of early exercise/assignment (of the short index options sold), that will cause an unexpected cash flow problem (as basically we don't want our cash sitting idle awaiting for this kind of rare/unusal - but realistic - sanario, practically) due to the margin on futures required for assignment. That would also leave the investor/trader (of exercised collars) an unwanted net position technically being long puts (due to the portfolio of stocks and the sold futures offsetting each other) during the day of bullish market movement.

Sleeping well and peaceful is important to health! :D

I think hedging can be simple (as currently proposed here) and can save good money if done correctly, or complex and cost great money if incorrectly.

This thread is trying to prove (with live calls) whether the currently proposed Simple strategy here can Save good money (plus Safety/Peace).

Just my 2 cents!
 
McMillian (Options as a Strategic Investment, page 653): "Hedging
The Primary economic function of futures markets is hedging, - taking a futures position to offset the risk of actually owning the physical commodity."

Smithson has a book "Managing Financial Risk" of total 663 pages talking about financial risk and hedging with derivative products. Chapter 7 (pages 116-139) is about hedging with futures, and Chapter 12 (pages 241-265) about hedging with options.

Record's book "Currency Overlay" is about overlay hedging. Chapter 6 (pages 105-124 ) is about passive overlay management, and Chapter 10 (pages 205-238) about active overlay management including discussions of technical analysis and options trading methods/models.

CFA also published (year 1993) a book "Active Currency Management" by Ramaswami. On its last page (#49) Summary: "Because options are Informationless strategies, and the currency market is shown to contain significant trends, which benefit option-type convex payoff patterns, option-based strategies should perform well, even when viewed as active currency management strategies." Hopefully the ongoing proof of this equity overlay program will have a similar conclusion.
 
Quote from OddTrader:

In order to prove our findings (as mentioned earlier), we will soon set up this overlay system on C2 as a portfolio hedging program.

This overlay program is particularly developed to meet the needs of institutional clients for market risk management. Our current plan is retail traders/investors have to request their brokers or fund managers for the provision of this put-options-based overlay hedging program.

Since this program is an active management strategy (based on our forecast of market directions), we expect the program will generate a small amount of positive returns. We hope the value of this profitable alpha-generating feature would help the instutional clients make better decisions.

We can post on ET the system's monthly performance once published by C2. Initially we will try to post some live calls (of buying long put options on weekly basis) on ET for comments/discussion as well.

What I meant above was this program is not designed for general retail investors/traders who are not QEPs (Qualified Eligible Participants/Persons).

Practically QEPs (almost All ETers) as retail investors/traders are welcome to directly subscribe our signal service on C2, without channeling or going through any brokers.
 
OddTrader, can you send me a message about your C2 system? I would like to follow your system. I don't mean subscribing yet; sorry; just follow the performance of the system. Thanks.


Quote from OddTrader:

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?threadid=233645



Equity hedging has been mentioned many many times on ET, wanting to find good solutions.

I now would like to propose a simple equity overlay system for discussion.

I want the equity overlay hedge system to be not only effective, but also low cost (or even better: producing alpha :) ).

To be effective, the overlay system will use an options-based model. The most simple approach is to buy long puts and constantly keep a long put position all the time, 24 hours/7 days/ 12 months.

To be low cost, the overlay system has to find a way of generating (good) income in order to offset (partly or fully) or exceed the expensive premiums of the long puts.

I plan to prove a (unique?) method through buying additional put options during (projected) down trends of price movement.

The system is purposely designed, therefor these additional put options will produce enough incomes to cover (beyond!) the expenses of premiums in the long run.

We consider the system peforms well when both its average annual cost and maximum annaul drawdown could be kept to an acceptable benchmark level.

There are some short-bias hedge funds or CTAs. But I don't know whether they use any similar approach as this proposed options-based equity hedging system.

Your comments/inputs would be welcome!
 
Currently we are still thinking about a proper name of this overlay system. For our 1st system on C2, we changed 4 times before officially activating it. But C2 recorded all the names in the history. It's funny. The 4 old names before officially activating the system should be totally eliminated from the C2 site.

You should be able to search our systems later under the options systems category, I believe. Actually there should be not many C2 systems buying long options, as far as I know.

Due to our signals/trades are delayed by seven days, you may even find our signals posted here on ET earlier than C2.
 
Quote from OddTrader:

Currently we are still thinking about a proper name of this overlay system. For our 1st system on C2, we changed 4 times before officially activating it. But C2 recorded all the names in the history. It's funny. The 4 old names before officially activating the system should be totally eliminated from the C2 site.

You should be able to search our systems later under the options systems category, I believe. Actually there should be not many C2 systems buying long options, as far as I know.

Due to our signals/trades are delayed by seven days, you may even find our signals posted here on ET earlier than C2.

http://collective2.com/forum?when-will-my-system-appear-in-search

" You must have 7 closed trades to appear in the Grid."

Propably it would take a very long time starting to see our systems and their performance on C2! LOL.
 
Quote from OddTrader:

Bought a Jan21 SPY 125 Put @$1.19 (Filled on C2: at 1/3/12 12:27 ET).

Hold the current position (price $0.71) above for another week .
 
Quote from OddTrader:

Bought a Jan21 SPY 125 Put @$1.19 (Filled on C2: at 1/3/12 12:27 ET).

Hold the current position (price $0.71) above for another week .

The C2 fill looks `honest'... that put was 1.18-1.19 or 1.18-1.20 during that minute of trading. BTW it's now 0.26-0.27.
 
Quote from Rodney King:

The C2 fill looks `honest'... that put was 1.18-1.19 or 1.18-1.20 during that minute of trading. BTW it's now 0.26-0.27.

The trading loss will be used to calculate average weekly cost for equity hedging, rather than for speculating.

For speculating and chasing profits, there is a separate thread about a Quick Trade system (which has an open position of Long Call this week, currently making a small profit as registered on C2).
 
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