Energy Ideas Thread

[GiantHogweed]

TraDaToR started one of these in the Ag Forum and some good ideas were posted. Please add your ideas and charts if you have them.

 

[GiantHogweed]

Watching RB/HO in multiple months. The May contract has a different pattern compared to the nearer months. Looking a bit wedgish. A seasonal move to the upside starts in mid-Nov and stays strong until late March. Also on the low end of the historic range.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/e48IUftK/

 

[GiantHogweed]

CLM/F broke above -.5 and even. Watching to see if even holds to add to my position. Good seasonality through mid-Dec

https://www.tradingview.com/x/WBdQEqBy/

 

[GiantHogweed]

CBK/CLK broke above -6 which as been resistance in the past. Good seasonal from Dec 1 through mid- Jan

https://www.tradingview.com/x/J06ptOy4/

 

[GiantHogweed]

HOK/HOF is looking interesting down here between -3 and -4. Looks like strong supp/res @ -4 and seasonal strength right now.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/RMEfxuj9/

 

[Vyki]

let's recover the topic. NG X-F
We are near good resistance, bearish seasonality is starting, although i dont know fundamental reasons. I will consider short near -0.240

 

[Vyki]

bought gasoil v-z @-4.25, one more buy limit @ -5.00 good seasonality + good support

 

[i960]

Sold GOZ15-GOX15 @ 2.25, similar trade to Vyki's above.

 

[Vyki]

going to sell CLZ15-2*CLF16+CLG16. Seasonally it falls in the beg of october (because of refinery outages) few (2-5) weeks after crack spread has made a high and has started to decline.

This year outages are in seasonal time

But high in crack spread happened a month ago. And crack spread chart and outages are similar to those in 2013.

 

[i960]

Gasoil spread just kinda there, not doing much.

Put on a CLH16-CLF16 position a few days back at 1.09 that's doing alright as of present.