Interesting spreadsheet...
I cannot however believe that the markets are random. If they were then it would be impossible to make any money in the long run. Profits would just occur by chance and would be corrected in the long term. It would be meaningless to try to trade and consistenly make money.
In order for the markets to be random, the people playing the market would have to be random. Everyone in the market has a strategy of some sort. The market behavior is the combination of everyone's strategies and the sum of non-randem strategies is a non-random market. Each person's strategy may be driven be a number of factors including fear and greed.
I cannot however believe that the markets are random. If they were then it would be impossible to make any money in the long run. Profits would just occur by chance and would be corrected in the long term. It would be meaningless to try to trade and consistenly make money.
In order for the markets to be random, the people playing the market would have to be random. Everyone in the market has a strategy of some sort. The market behavior is the combination of everyone's strategies and the sum of non-randem strategies is a non-random market. Each person's strategy may be driven be a number of factors including fear and greed.