Quote from Martinghoul:
That would be extremely unlikely, for the simple reason that the body that is meeting on Monday is not the one that sets the policy rates. The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System is not the FOMC. The Board is, however, responsible, among other things, for setting the discount rate.
EDIT: Moreover, when did the BoE, RBI or the BoI do a surprise inter-meeting hike, which is what you're suggesting might happen Monday? The most they did was act on scheduled dates when the mkt didn't expect them to, which is an entirely different kettle of fish.
Quote from Martinghoul:
Yes, that's exactly my point, chaos...
Various central banks have in the past made unexpected decisions at their scheduled meetings. Including, most recently the RBI and the BoI and, not so recently, the BoE.
However, if the Fed were to actually hike the headline rate on Monday, that would be an entirely different story, as it would constitute an inter-meeting hike on an unscheduled date. The FOMC has obviously done this before, but a) meetings to make these decisions are not pre-announced, obviously; b) as I mentioned, it's done by the FOMC, rather than the Board of Governors.
Quote from Ivanovich:
It's going to be a discount rate hike, which is essentially irrelevant.
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/fed-raise-discount-rate-again