Quote from RoughTrader:
You couldn't be more wrong, sir.
RoughTrader
Quote from Tuneman:
I have been trying to decide which is a better indicator
and although I understand why one would want to put more weight on recent prices to make the moving average more responsive, doesn't that go against the idea of a trendline?
I guess my question is why should the recent values hold more weight?
Quote from Hook N. Sinker:
A Bollinger band system might use a simple moving average because it first calculates an average value then calculates the standard deviation. Since the average value is already known it might be used to calculate the exit signal.
I observe a three month trendline often approximates a 40 day moving average curve. Sometimes it is difficult for me to draw a trend line and the 40 day moving average curve appears a good substitute.
There are lots of ways to compute moving average values. You can calculate some of them yourself using Microsoft Works or Excel spreadsheets. I am reading about a volume weighted exponential moving average at http://www.gummy-stuff.org/EMA.htm. You might try different formulas and observe the trading results of your modeling studies. Different moving averages might show different results.