Electronic vs Pit crude

http://www.nymex.com/media/102507.pdf

see page 13.

Dec cude oil 2007

282,486 total volume (dec 07)
266,873 Electronic (eth)

15,613 pit trades in (dec 07)

18:1 ratio

the question is how many of the electronc trades were done by traders in the pit? A large percentage is a valid assumption.

As far as 100 lot scalps.. if you filter ticks.. for trades over 100 .. there are very very few throughout teh day.. typically less than 50
 
Quote from rubibond007:

Bear, There's no need to be offensive.

anyway, those guys probably have more Edge than us, because they can trade the spreads and they can see the order flow in the options pits better than most of us. You dont know if the guy who open the thread want to lease a seat at the nymex. At the CBOT (at least) some of the biggest traders still using those Options Pits ( for example ).

There's must be a reason why people like carmona, bergkson, Bolling and the Fisher's crew still on those pits at the nymex.


good trading.

It was meant as a light joke bros. As far as floor traders having an edge over me, I highly doubt it. As far as those guys still in the pits, maybe they are there because they actually enjoy it.

I personally wouldn't....all the people would aggravate me.
 
Quote from jsmooth:

The pits will continue to be open until majors institutions decide to do all their business in the electronic markets.

Or if nobody on the floor can make money anymore. Even less money...and the trend will continue to obsolescence. It's similar to NYSE...the specialist system is becoming something of the past, guys can't make money anymore.

Institutions go where the money is, and I can guarantee you if it's cheaper and more efficient to do it electronically (ie. ICE or GLOBEX), they'll go there. Nobody really cares about the gas station attendant who pumps the gas, unless he's making you money... then they'll consider keeping him around.

This 'floor traders are useful and necessary to the market...keep us around mentality' is sort of a red herring in my opinion, put forth by the guys trying to save their own ass.

Aren't some of the large european futures exchanges COMPLETELY electronic with no humans?
 
Quote from Bear Plunger:

Aren't some of the large european futures exchanges COMPLETELY electronic with no humans?
Yes, there are. Eurex.

As you read this entire thread, it's important to remember that 90% of all daytraders, whether pit or behind the screen, lose money. And a local does not have an edge like a NYSE specialist who has the "book."
 
On the subject of whether the floor is obsolescent - you can look at it from a business perspective.

The original purpose of the trading floor/exchange was to provide a means to have a market at all -- there were no electronic markets. The floor traders were the market.

Now that electronic trading is nearly universal - which is the more cost effective and efficient way to execute? People get paid a lot more than computers. The business will go to wherever the competitive advantage exists, in this case electronic trading.

The trading floors are all on the way out. Nonetheless, there is an advantage to having a well organized and closely linked team working orders in a physical location (over an individual trying to absorb it all remotely), and it may be enough of an advantage to keep traders on the floor making the electronic markets for a while, IMO.
 
Quote from jsmooth:

...
I cant really speak about the NYMEX and their pits, but you can see this whole order flow process (and how the pit and electronic markets inter-relate) if you follow the SP & ES. To give you an example, about a week or two ago the SP's gapped up on the open because their was a big option group doing substantial buying (2000+ cars in the big SP contract), they kept biding in 100-200 car lots, and the locals where basically letting them into the markets (they were selling to the option group). So the option group wants to buy the market, but someone has to let them in and take on all that risk....the guys doing that are the locals and market makers. Now, they obviously want to sell the market (to the option group) as high as possible, in order to minimize their risk. So instead of offering at 6.00, they may say offer at 6.50, 6.60, 6.70, ect...so they will essentially be shorting the market all the way up....long story short, once the option group finished all their buying the locals were basically stuck short between a 3-4 handle range up to the daily highs and forced to bid the market (cover their shorts).

But you cant just liquidate 2000+ cars (2000 x 5 = #ES contracts) unless you can find someone to sellem to you....then their is another conflict, the guy that will sell them will obviously want to sell as high as possible, while the locals want to buy as low as possible (they dont want to buy the highs)....So they will play some games and also try to bid in the ES to liquidate and find some sellers. if the market is 6.00 x 6.50 they may just offer lower, 6.40, 6.30, 6.20, ect and also bid 6.00 on the ES....Or they may just sell em at 6.00 (at the bid - sometimes the only way to bring a mkt down is to sell some more)....and hopefully the market will now be 5.60 x 6.00 and 5.75 x 6.00 (ES).....and the process just continues until new paper comes to the market. And if its a paper seller, the local (whos already short and looking to cover) will do the same thing, but on the bid.

...
The rest of your post was probably ok, but this is incorrect.

nitro
 
Quote from Realist:

Most of the guys with tablets down there are strictly arbing between the floor and the screen. There are essentially helping to make the market during open outcry. Scalping pennies on lots of 10-100 contracts can bring in some serious coin if you know whats coming down the pipe. However, any fast movements or gaps during the pit session can destroy an arb account in mere seconds. Wednesdays EIA report for instance made and broke many of those guys when CLZ gapped up...
That is incorrect.

nitro
 
Oil has been on a real tear this week .. amazing volume and price moves. Oil typically will continue its move into the afterhours trading after a strong move.. i.e. up $ 4.00 today and now oil up $ 1.68 in after hours trading. Eventually though the people who bought oil after hours and cleared out a lot of buy stops.. then realize they must get out of their longs which moved the market or be eaten alive in the AM. (obviously oil should not be at $ 96.24 fundamentaly .. it's there on thin volume in after hours.. anyway.. i included a 1 second chart with volume to let you "see" what is happening in the oil market due to large volume pushing around prices.. during the day there is too much noise and volume to see it this easily.. Think about it this way.. you have millions in your account .. you can fire off 100 lots in the after hours which get partial fills.. 23, 17 ,10, 5 ,28 , maybe 44.. then as you move the thin market higher.. you hit buy stops from people who got short This afternoon and shouldn't have! Other "night traders" also jump on board and guess what.. you put out a 100 lot and in less than one second yes one second you triggered over 430 contracts to trade! Which in one second took Dec crude 2007 up 45 cents a contract!!!!!! look at the chart.. and remember without stops especially at night it can be like playing equity roulette.. same stuff happens durig day session just takes more volume to move the price.. thats why you realize 10 and 20 cent 1 second spikes. They are much harder to see.. hope this helps well check you post .. i will put the chart there
 

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Quote from nolajy:

Oil has been on a real tear this week .. .. same stuff happens durig day session just takes more volume to move the price.. They are much harder to see.. hope this helps well check you post .. i will put the chart there

Are you writing a term paper.....come on now.
What significance is a one second chart....please tell me?
 
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