Election theme

MSFT was my best play of the week. Opp-loss is worse than losing. It's killing me to see it up nearly 8 from my entry.
You cut risk when you needed to. Sure, opp loss is worse than losing. But losing because you threw your risk management out the window is far worse. I know. And I you know it too over such a long career doing this day in and day out
 
MSFT was my best play of the week. Opp-loss is worse than losing. It's killing me to see it up nearly 8 from my entry.

Come on risk, what are you up YTD, 1 year, 5 year, lifetime? There'll be more. Best of us fall too.
 
short mar31 2000 2300 2500 2800 ironfly, vs long may 2900 c delta flat

flat nominal vega, short RT vega, implied carry (spot gamma vs spot theta) is 115 vol.

Can you elaborate your implied carry calculation? Usually carry is quoted in rate terms no?
 
I don't treat them any differently. Perhaps a slight bias to the bull on EOM in a normal market.



My neighbor is in the field, Harvard MD, famous in his field... he believes it will infect 70-80% of the global population. Assuming that it leaves Africa (relatively) untouched. He thinks it will kill 10MM globally (best case). WTF do I know, but I am not going long into the weekend... which means it will dot-shot higher 5% tomorrow and Monday.

Today's numbers don't bode well, we're weeks from "flattening the curve". This rally ended up fizzling out too....though a sideways market isn't necessarily a bad indicator of having reached "normalcy"
 
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