Election 2024 Foreplay

[Tony Stark]

Kristian Mansel, 23 said she's willing to see a Trump victory if it means Biden and Democratic Party learn a lesson. She's mad Biden and Democrats have failed to protect reproductive rights or wipe out student loans.

 

[Tony Stark]

 

[UsualName]

AZ could go the other way too in regard to abortion being the pivotal issue- OR NOT.

For example, the dems are all salivating over having abortion as an issue there BUT the state legislature is in session right now. They might just crank out a bill and "fix" it. BOOM!

So that lets the steam out of everyone's shorts on that issue, and the election is way off a bit and they have reverted to immigration or inflation or something. Or will the legislature not-solve the issue to save it for the election?

Unknown unknowns.

 

[UsualName]

No,every poll does not agree.In aggregate polling without RFK Trump leads by 0.6

With RFK included Trump leads by 1.8 and is ahead in far more polls

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For the record, 0.6 or 1.8 doesn’t make a difference. That’s statistically tied.

 

[Tony Stark]

For the record, 0.6 or 1.8 doesn’t make a difference. That’s statistically tied.

For the record, it does.

Also,not only is Trumps margin larger when RFK is included Trump is ahead in a lot more polls.

 

[TreeFrogTrader]

Dems, howz that transitional inflation coming along today?

I notice that Camp Biden is up bright and early (minus Biden) with a statement that their needs to be calls for grocery chains to stop their gouging. Ahh, okay. Maybe stick with abortion.

 

[UsualName]

Houston, we have problem…


18-34:
Trump: 54%
Biden: 25%

65+
Biden: 54%
Trump: 35%

https://twitter.com/x/status/1777843634580128121

 

[UsualName]

For the record, it does.

Also,not only is Trumps margin larger when RFK is included Trump is ahead in a lot more polls.

Nah, the MOE is greater than the difference.

 

[Tony Stark]

Nah, the MOE is greater than the difference.

Maybe you're right.Aggregate national polling always gets the overall popular vote winner right so I don't pay attention to the MOE.

 

[TreeFrogTrader]

Be interesting to see if at some point Trump decides to name a VP before the election.

He can do himself a lot of good or a lot of damage depending on who he chooses. Marco Rubio is one scenario, Marjorie Greene, another, eh?

Trump, bless his little heart, likes the gameplayer stuff though. Going to North Dakota and telling them "I think you will be pleased" and then go to South Carolina with a Tim Scott hint and then New York with an Elise hint, rinse and repeat. Some of that is okay because by putting a spotlight on certain candidates you flush out what the public response and negatives are. Vetting so to speak. Gets tiresome after a while though.