Election 2024 Foreplay

TreeFrogTrader said:
CNN just declared Trump the winnier of the Iowa caucus.

Wayyy to go CNN. Who woulda thunk?

All the CNN pundits are sweating bullets. They are talking about Trumps lead in Iowa, but their real concern is that Trump turning out voters in Iowa is an indicator that he will also turn out the vote in the general against Joe Briben.
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Did Nicki surprise? Not that it matters with such small numbers.... but how'd she fare against Desantis in reality vs the predictions of the various polls?
 
vanzandt said:
Did Nicki surprise? Not that it matters with such small numbers.... but how'd she fare against Desantis in reality vs the predictions of the various polls?
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Oh jeez. Not many votes in yet.

She is bumping along behind desantis a bit from what I have seen but in one or two of the suburb areas I saw one where she was up there quite a bit. But, again, on a handful of votes.

Stay tuned. I projected yesterday that desantis would come in ahead of nikki by at least "2 or more points." I have not seen anything to change that yet but would not be surprised if it is wrong either. She will win fewer districts against ron but they will be the suburban type ones with lots of lib/moderate population so there is that. Just have to see how it comes out in the wash.
 
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UsualName said:
As Trump’s seemingly inevitable nomination is coming more into focus for voters…


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No disrespect, but do you ever shut up about anything? There's a whole world north of the equator here. Any market insights you might have will be far more appreciated than anything your political commentary here delivers.

You are welcome to post on any of the GBA threads with money making ideas whenever you feel so inclined. You're not going to change the reality of the world's politics down here arguing with anyone that'll respond.... so re-direct your time to the markets. Micro, Macro, stocks... whatever. All ears here.
 
Things not going well over on CNN right now.

Thoughts and prayers, everyone.

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UsualName said:
The real question is will Trump break 50%?

I say yes. Close to 60%. The cold will benefit Trump the most. His supporters are overly enthusiastic. I think Desantis like 15 ish and Ramaswamy 10-8, Haley 7ish.

Never know though. Iowa has a great history of not caring what anyone thinks and just sending in some unexpected results.
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Boo, me. Trump didn’t get to 60% and Haley didn’t fall flat on her face - still a runaway.

Something that is important is the total number of voters is actually subdued will most likely end out at 115k - IYKYK.

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vanzandt said:
No disrespect, but do you ever shut up about anything? There's a whole world north of the equator here. Any market insights you might have will be far more appreciated than anything your political commentary here delivers.

You are welcome to post on any of the GBA threads with money making ideas whenever you feel so inclined. You're not going to change the reality of the world's politics down here arguing with anyone that'll respond.... so re-direct your time to the markets. Micro, Macro, stocks... whatever. All ears here.
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lol. Nah. I’m a 60-40 guy now on cruise control. My days of trading are few and far in between now.
 
If Trump makes it to election day he'll win in a landslide which will rival the Reagan/Mondale slaughter. IF is the operative word. Between a corrupt kangaroo court system and the very real possibility of the powers that be arranging an "accident", November is a long ways off.
Vivek decided to play the long game, he'll be back. Haley is done and Ron is hanging on hoping the establishment finds a way to take out Trump.
Walking Corpse Joe is unlikely to make it. DNC will try to time his "decision" to step aside. Doesn't matter who runs for dems, if Trump somehow survives the obvious hit job he wins big.
 
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