Election 2024 Foreplay

UsualName said:
Nonsense. Pelosi ran the House with just as slim of a majority with great success. If anything all you’re doing is reinforcing my point of how there is no political ideology in the Republican Party. It’s just a mob.
More...

Well, yes, that is another way to go- to have someone who rules the house or senate in a way that allows for no dissent. Eventually, having the old hag stay for so long was one of the reasons that the dems lost the house. She was a drag on the dem party.

Similarly you can have someone like Mitch hang on for decades and maintain control of the Senate republicans. At a certain point though, and that point has been reached with Mitch, the cure is worse than the disease. Some dissent, chaos, and reconfiguration would be a good thing.

As discussed ad nauseam though, these republican problems are bone for the dems to chew on while ignoring the five star clusterfuck you got in you part going into 2024. Eventually, the pub house problem will resolve. Let us know when the Biden/Harris/dem clusterfuck resolves. You guys are headed straight into an iceberg and have known it for a couple years but you have no solutiuon- even though have an answer to everything when it comes to the pubs.
 
TreeFrogTrader said:
Well, yes, that is another way to go- to have someone who rules the house or senate in a way that allows for no dissent. Eventually, having the old hag stay for so long was one of the reasons that the dems lost the house. She was a drag on the dem party.

Similarly you can have someone like Mitch hang on for decades and maintain control of the Senate republicans. At a certain point though, and that point has been reached with Mitch, the cure is worse than the disease. Some dissent, chaos, and reconfiguration would be a good thing.

As discussed ad nauseam though, these republican problems are bone for the dems to chew on while ignoring the five star clusterfuck you got in you part going into 2024. Eventually, the pub house problem will resolve. Let us know when the Biden/Harris/dem clusterfuck resolves. You guys are headed straight into an iceberg and have known it for a couple years but you have no solutiuon- even though have an answer to everything when it comes to the pubs.
More...

You weave stories to make yourself feel better. Biden is a clusterfuck you say all the while ignoring Trump is a highway to hell. I guess it can be said there is still a chance Trump does not end up the nominee while Biden is all but assured.

Anyway, you’re in lala land, the Republican Party is totally crashed out and Biden is old. Situation normal.

On another note, I asked you a few weeks back what the over under was on 30 days without the republicans being able to elect a speaker. Any thoughts on that now?
 
UsualName said:
You weave stories to make yourself feel better. Biden is a clusterfuck you say all the while ignoring Trump is a highway to hell. I guess it can be said there is still a chance Trump does not end up the nominee while Biden is all but assured.

Anyway, you’re in lala land, the Republican Party is totally crashed out and Biden is old. Situation normal.

On another note, I asked you a few weeks back what the over under was on 30 days without the republicans being able to elect a speaker. Any thoughts on that now?
More...

I think that the chances of their electing a "speaker as we have traditionally known it" are still quite low. Chances of some temp speaker who has the full vote of the house or some contorted version of that are probably reasonably high.

I had noted in separate posts that I thought that Bryron Donalds and Mike Johnson would both have time at bat in this process before it is over, and -by jove- I think the chances of that happening are now greater.

Not to let the air out of my own tires or yours either, but I do think the worst is yet to come even after/if the speaker thing is resolved. If/when they resolve the speakership issue, then they move right into addressing the appropriations funding bill. That is going to be a full-blown helmets-on hand to hand combat both intramurally within parties and within houses but also back and forth between opposing parties. Funds Ukraine and funding Israel without securing the border.......it's going to make the debt ceiling thing look like a picnic.
 
Well, knowing the Live Free or Die New Hampshire voters quite well, this primary flap ended out exactly where I figured it would.

Bottomline. New Hampshire did not budge and will not move its primary date.

Bottomline #2. Joe Biden will not be on the ballot.

Of course, Biden has always acted as though he has been coronated as the nominee so they can do whatever. It does put a sourness in the air for the dems there though and the dogfight with the DNC which neutered their election has not been healthy. Moving the first in the nation primary out of New Hampshire for cheap political purposes to help one candidate is viewed as just what it is: cheap and dirty.

There's some dem votes for Bobby right there. Not many but a chance for dems to make a protest vote. I mean, it's quirky, they drove him out of the dem party too so he won't even be on the ballot but some dems may still write his name in just to show protest.

All in all the DNC and Biden treated New Hampshire pretty shabby and they did it because they could get away with it. New Hampshire people don;t bother anyone and they have their little identity related to being the first primary in the nation forever and a day. Leave em alone for crisesake.

Biden won't appear on New Hampshire Democratic primary ballot. But write-ins are still an option

Biden won't appear on New Hampshire Democratic primary ballot. But write-ins are still an option (msn.com)
 
Last edited:
https://www.prri.org/research/threa...ad-of-an-unprecedented-presidential-election/



upload_2023-10-25_13-43-36.png




upload_2023-10-25_13-42-48.png
 
upload_2023-10-25_16-3-23.png



Warning signs are flashing in recent polls for President Biden, with several showing him locked in a tight race with former President Trump and some even showing him trailing his presumed rival, underscoring the extent to which the presidential election will likely come down to the wire.

Biden’s campaign has emphasized that the election is still more than a year away and that the president is putting in the work to mobilize voters to rally around his reelection bid.

Still, the combination of the close polling with Biden’s low approval ratings has some political observers cautious about Biden’s chances for 2024.

Dave Wasserman, from the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, posted earlier this month on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter, that he believed Biden would lose the election to an indicted Trump if the election was held today. He noted that Biden had a positive favorability rating while Trump’s was about 41 percent in 2020, but Trump still was only 42,000 votes away in Arizona, Georgia and Wisconsin from winning.

“Now fast forward to 2024 with tied national polls, 40% Biden approval, equally dismal Biden/Trump favorability, more economic pessimism, growing migrant/[international] crises and the potential for [Robert F. Kennedy Jr.]/[Cornel West] to double Jill Stein’s pull on campuses, etc.” Wasserman said. “Biden is in absolutely dire shape.”

Biden’s apparent challenges have been underscored in recent days by a string of polls painting a neck and neck race with Trump.

The former president led Biden by 2 points in a national Emerson College poll released Friday and by 4 points in a Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll from Thursday of seven key swing states that will most likely decide the outcome of the 2024 race, including Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

Another Emerson poll out of Pennsylvania, released earlier this month, found Trump with a 9 point lead over the president.
 
Dr West polling at a huge 5.5% (If you think thats small Jill Stein got 1% in 2016 and Ralph Nader got 2.7% in 2000 and we know what happened to Gore and Hillery)

Virtually all Dr West votes will come from voters like me who voted for Biden in 2020.





upload_2023-10-25_16-32-15-png.326078
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top