You know those polls showing that a third party candidate will cause Joe Biden to lose to Trump. Well they mainly come from a single pollster -- who is married to the person who leads "No Labels". To make it clear "No Labels" is funded by Republicans intent on spoiling Joe Biden from being re-elected.
The primary point is that most of these polls showing a third party candidate giving Trump a big lead with a large number of votes for a third party candidate are biased bullshiat -- however a third party candidate is still a threat to Biden's re-election. It would only take a small number of votes in key states to tip the election to Trump.
The Pollster Getting Under Democrats’ Skin
Longtime Clinton pollster Mark Penn sees a huge opportunity for a third-party contender in 2024.
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/01/27/clinton-pollster-2024-00138163
One of the biggest threats to Joe Biden’s reelection is a third party candidate — viable or not.
It wouldn’t take much for a third party or independent contender to tip the election in Donald Trump’s favor. In 2020, the presidency was decided by less than 40,000 votes in three swing states. And in 2024, third party fever seems to be on the rise. Already, Cornel West, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Jill Stein are running.
Then there’s t
he quixotic movement known as No Labels, which has cited a stream of polling data arguing that a large majority of Americans are crying out for an alternative to Trump and Biden.
The man producing those polls is Mark Penn, best known for two things: his devotion to centrist politics and his longtime role as the top pollster and strategist for Bill and Hillary Clinton.
Penn’s wife Nancy Jacobson runs No Labels and frequently uses Penn’s data to support her project, though he says he has no role in the organization. Penn reports that 64 percent of voters say “the country needs another choice” if it’s a Biden-Trump rematch and that most voters would consider a moderate, independent candidate as an alternative to the current president and former president.
Not surprisingly, the couple’s work has infuriated Democrats — who are spending money to discredit them, sue No Labels, thwart the group’s voter registration efforts and pressure its affiliates.
So what does Mark Penn think about all of this? We decided to ask him.
I caught up with Penn on this week’s Playbook Deep Dive podcast. We talked about his controversial polls, his real relationship with No Labels and why he thinks that Nikki Haley may still have a big role to play in this year’s election.
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