Uhm.. right now stocks and bonds are negatively correlated, this is not always the case like most of 2006. Logic can be used to explain both why bonds should be negatively correlated as well as positively correlated. When investors fear recession stocks fall, the fed will cut interest rates and bonds rally. Negative correlation. When bond yields are falling stocks become more competitive. Positive correlation. Correlations can be studied empirically and a number can be found. But this number and the sign of this number is everchanging depending on when u measure. Its all context. To speculate is all u can doâ¦
The same is true for the other opposites in a smaller or larger degree.