Economists Say Inflation Would Be Worse Under Trump Than Biden

In a Wall Street Journal survey, economists see Trump’s plans to raise tariffs and crack down on illegal immigration as putting upward pressure on prices

https://www.wsj.com/economy/economi...han-biden-263bc900?mod=hp_major_pos1#cxrecs_s

Donald Trump loves to remind voters that President Biden has overseen the highest inflation in 40 years.

But don’t count on Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee for president, to bring inflation down faster than Biden if he wins the presidential election in November.

Most economists believe inflation, deficits and interest rates would be higher during a second Trump administration than if Biden remains in the White House, according to a quarterly survey of forecasters by The Wall Street Journal.

“I think there is a real risk that inflation will reaccelerate under a Trump presidency,” said Bernard Baumohl, chief global economist at the Economic Outlook Group. That would likely lead the Federal Reserve to set interest rates higher than if inflation continues its downward trajectory, he added.

The Journal’s survey, conducted July 5-9, received responses from 68 professional forecasters from business, Wall Street and academia. Of the 50 who answered questions about Trump and Biden, 56% said inflation would be higher under another Trump term than a Biden term, versus 16% who said the opposite. The remainder saw no material difference.

US Tariffs at 60% Would Halve China’s Growth Rate, UBS Says

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...t-60-would-halve-china-s-growth-rate-ubs-says

Who knows...

It's always a weightening up;
what would it benefit more, what less.
 
He is full of shit. Economists are good at reading books and thats about it.
Trump is the man !

IMO just judge the arguments in question.

It makes total sense to me that if you:

a) stop importing cheap shit from China, prices will rise when you have to buy US made stuff.

b) stop immigrants, you need to find and encourage Americans to do the jobs nobody wants instead which raises labor costs.

Also:

c) Trump HAS applied pressure on the Fed to reduce rates in the past. If he will have an increased executive mandate it's more likely he will be successful in doing so this time.

None of these arguments are against voting for Trump, which is a separate discussion. A weaker US dollar isn't necessarily a bad thing, especially for the rest of the world.
 
Let's not forget that weaponizing the US against Russia—by seizing the $300B in USD via SWIFT—has been a diaster. Other countries began divesting their US Dollars now that they realized the US could just as easily weaponize it against them. What happens when you suddenly add 100s of billions to trillions of unused US Dollars to the supply pool? Doesn't take a genius to understand the law of supply and demand.

This had to be one of the most retarded moves by the Biden Administration amongst a slew of them. It didn't even affect Russia. In fact, their currency actually increased in value as they made trades with other BRIC nations. The only ones it hurt were American citizens, and this doesn't even add all of the other variables that increased inflation, like the endless money printing and writing off of billions in student loans.
 
Let's not forget that weaponizing the US against Russia—by seizing the $300B in USD via SWIFT—has been a diaster. Other countries began divesting their US Dollars now that they realized the US could just as easily weaponize it against them. What happens when you suddenly add 100s of billions to trillions of unused US Dollars to the supply pool? Doesn't take a genius to understand the law of supply and demand.

This had to be one of the most retarded moves by the Biden Administration amongst a slew of them. It didn't even affect Russia. In fact, their currency actually increased in value as they made trades with other BRIC nations. The only ones it hurt were American citizens, and this doesn't even add all of the other variables that increased inflation, like the endless money printing and writing off of billions in student loans.

That is what happens when crooks are in charge. They can say anything and lie but, the truth is there for people to see. Taking Russia's monies is thievery and not all the spin can change that. Also, Russia can retaliate by seizing assets of US and Europe in Russian control. The BRICs group that Russia and China has formed is a far more powerful economic block than the G7. Only a matter of time before the BRICs group of countries sanction the US and Europe and retaliate in kind.
 
with him in place, the old Washington consensus will be challenged, particularly the open trade policy, which held down the consumer inflation for the last three decades, our poor people can still spend thanks for the even poorer workers in another third world countries.
 
IF Trump is elected, he'll be coming into a very strong economy with all numbers headed in the right direction. He'll need to tread very carefully not to screw things up.

Which is unlikely.

the unlikely part is very likely, expect a roller coaster, volfefe is back.
 
Let's not forget that weaponizing the US against Russia—by seizing the $300B in USD via SWIFT—has been a diaster. Other countries began divesting their US Dollars now that they realized the US could just as easily weaponize it against them. What happens when you suddenly add 100s of billions to trillions of unused US Dollars to the supply pool? Doesn't take a genius to understand the law of supply and demand.

This had to be one of the most retarded moves by the Biden Administration amongst a slew of them. It didn't even affect Russia. In fact, their currency actually increased in value as they made trades with other BRIC nations. The only ones it hurt were American citizens, and this doesn't even add all of the other variables that increased inflation, like the endless money printing and writing off of billions in student loans.
"It didn't even affect Russia"

Really now? CB's constantly manipulate their currency. Company stocks and profits are a lot harder to do.

Moscow Stock Exchange Index (MOEX):-

Daily chart - 1 year low just today (timing is everything)

! MOEX Daily year low.png

Weekly still 1300 points lower almost 3 years later lol
! MOEX weekly.png


Echo chambers are bad for seeing reality.
 
Back
Top