Economics of Renting vs. Owning

Because the subject of the thread is not Economics of Renting vs. Owning in California. I am trying to prove to these folks that it is not a forgone conclusion that renting is cheaper then owning in the long term.

Quote from balda:

7 years, $1K per month what is it?

In Los Angeles you will not afford closet for this much.

why do you assume that people only rent apartments, one can also rent a house and

condo owners do not have private backyards and can hear their neighbors.
 
Taxes are 120$/month insurance is 60$. My job is being self-employed and I decide when I move.

Rent is easily the same as my MTG payment.

You could find these deals all over the country if you look. I live in Calgary,AB and bought at the right time 1.5 years ago, before prices started to skyrocket.

edit: Some of the downpayment money came from a house I owned when living in Florida 2000-2004.

Quote from jficquette:

What about property taxes? How about insurance?? How about maintence? What happens when a divorce happens? What happens when a job ends and you have to move??

People think owning is better only because they assume that paper profits is the same as real profit.

I have owned and built houses in various parts of the US and I will never own another.

All those who have gotten rich off their paper profits should sit down and determine the present value of their home using what they could rent it for.

You will find that your home is worth about half what you think it is. Not half of what you paid for it but half of what you assume you could get for it based on the past few years.



John
 
Quote from Sparohok:

That's because of the amortization schedule, which reflects home equity (savings) by the owner. Your father-in-law is paying only $200/month because he has already saved the vast majority of the price of the house. In order to accomplish that, he had to pay a great deal of interest at a time when dollars were much more valuble than they are today.

Martin
True. But he agreed to pay many less dollars way back then that he would have to agree to pay today to get one. The decreased number of dollars offsets the higher value of those dollars. And if he'd have rented this whole time, he'd have paid out way, way, more dollars over that time period.
 
Quote from jmccain:

I think that what he means is that you can lock the same payment over 30 years whereas as a renter you have no choice but to pay prevalent market rates.

Inflation helps the homeowner since the mortgage payment remains the same whereas revenues should increase. So what was once taking up 30% of monthly cash-flow, may only take 5% after 15 years.

Bingo! The weighted average of the percent of income was 20% over that time period. Then you get to factor in the tax advantage, but admittedly you have to subtract out maintenance.

For a renter, their payment would remain about 85% of what a new home owner would be expected to pay, so they would pay out 85% of 30% for the duration, or an average of 25.5% of their salary.

And after that 30 years, they would still be paying out 25.5% of their salary, but the homeowner would have it paid out, so they'd only be paying the taxes and insurance, which is less than 2%.

Yes, if might make sense now, in some markets, to rent instead of buy, but over the long-run, there is just no way in my mind that it is better.

SM
 
Quote from Smart Money:

Bingo! The weighted average of the percent of income was 20% over that time period. Then you get to factor in the tax advantage, but admittedly you have to subtract out maintenance.

For a renter, their payment would remain about 85% of what a new home owner would be expected to pay, so they would pay out 85% of 30% for the duration, or an average of 25.5% of their salary.

And after that 30 years, they would still be paying out 25.5% of their salary, but the homeowner would have it paid out, so they'd only be paying the taxes and insurance, which is less than 2%.

Yes, if might make sense now, in some markets, to rent instead of buy, but over the long-run, there is just no way in my mind that it is better.

SM

Oops. Forgot to mention that at that end of the 30-year period, my father in law owns that house free and clear. His net worth is $400,000 greater than if he just rented. I'd really like to see the assumptions in the spreadsheet that started this thread but I couldn't download it.
 
Quote from jmccain:

...

You could find these deals all over the country if you look. I live in Calgary,AB and bought at the right time 1.5 years ago, before prices started to skyrocket.

....


Curious, what's the tax situation for homeownership in Canada? As in the US, where owners get an interest deduction without paying tax on imputed income? What about capital gains on sale?
 
Quote from Smart Money:

Oops. Forgot to mention that at that end of the 30-year period, my father in law owns that house free and clear. His net worth is $400,000 greater than if he just rented. I'd really like to see the assumptions in the spreadsheet that started this thread but I couldn't download it.

Had he been renting then put the extra cash investing, perhaps he would have made millions. :-)
 
Quote from Adobian:

Had he been renting then put the extra cash investing, perhaps he would have made millions. :-)

I think it would actually work the other way. Assuming that the average tenant pays 85% of the payment, then he would only have four years to invest before the homeowner's payment would be less than the renters due to inflation. So the owner would have 26 years to invest his savings which would increase every year, starting at about 3.5% per year.

SM
 
Quote from Adobian:

Had he been renting then put the extra cash investing, perhaps he would have made millions. :-)

Or lost it all in 2000, when the market crashed.
 
There is no interest deduction when paying off your mortgage unlike the US.

When you sell your principal residence, there are no capital gains taxes as long as you've lived in it for 1 year+.

You can use your equity, and this is a good deal if your house has apprecited substantially, to invest in other opportunities.

Your bank will lend you a maximum of :

Appraised, current value of your house * .75 - Mortgage = Maximum Line of Credit

The interest rate for that would be prime (sometimes you can get prime -.5) and this becomes tax deductible if the money is used for investment purposes (stocks, other real estate etc...)

So, as an example, your house is paid off and you have no payments. You can take 100K out and control 400K worth of rental properties for about 4K/year (current prime - tax deduction). The market would have to appreciate less than 2% on average per year for you to break even after taxes. (Your tenant is paying off the rest of the mortgage, hopefully, and some principal)

If you are smart (and maybe a bit lucky) and get a 25% year then you've almost doubled your money with minimal risk.

You can't just buy any property out there, but with a little bit of smarts, anyone can do it. And this doesn't require you giving up your job or risking your entire financial situation etc...



Quote from MoralHazard:

Curious, what's the tax situation for homeownership in Canada? As in the US, where owners get an interest deduction without paying tax on imputed income? What about capital gains on sale?
 
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