Eclectic

--05/01/2015 Love the April Monthly Bar on British Pound and the oversold condition on daily.. Long here at 1.5222. Initial stop is 1.4470.
--05/21/2015. Price is 1.5663. Raising to stop. Will stop out on a close under 1.5000
--06/10/15 Afterhours AM Closed out trade at 1.5417 for 195 pip gain.
Opened new long in Sep contract at 1.5406 same stop.
 
---05/05/2015 Long Jun Canadian Dollar at .8247. Initial stop 75.50
---06/10/2015 Closed trade at .8119 for 125 pip loss
Opened long in Sep contract at .8109 same stop
 
Quite the monthly chart there on ARKK eh?

upload_2022-4-11_16-44-24.png
 
I purchase BITO today at 24.85 for a short term swing. No stop as it's un-leveraged.
I did some cyclic analyis for BITO using the past 123 calendar days (20211224 through 20220425) of high and low prices (prices linearly interpolated for days the market was closed).
upload_2022-4-25_21-59-15.png

The wavy lines are for fitting the high and low prices with a parabolic trend (smooth curves) plus a cosine wave with a slight left translation. Extrapolating these curves predicts a cyclic uptrend until about May 16 or 17.

The curve equations are
Code:
y_hi = 29.852071762085 + -0.117466971278191 * x + 0.000843059213366359 * x^2
    + 1.8878356218338 * skewed_cos(twopi / 45.1171294804365, 5.58180999755859, 0.0944104790687561, x, 100);
y_lo = 28.6371726989746 + -0.113271854817867 * x + 0.0008285574731417 * x^2
    + 1.98085570335388 * skewed_cos(twopi / 44.8982599040434, 5.54958152770996, 0.0825099349021912, x, 100);
where
y_hi is the curve value fitted to daily high prices.
y_lo is the curve value fitted to daily low prices.
skewed_cos(freq, phase, skew, x, iter) = cos(freq * x + phase) when iter == 0
skewed_cos(freq, phase, skew, x, iter) = cos(freq * x + phase + skew * skewed_cos(freq, phase, skew, x, iter - 1)) when iter > 0
x is calendar days since the beginning of the 123 calendar day input period.
 
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