after 30 years i am learning how to learn.
well i have proven enough times that i am moron.
be that as it may let us continue our systematic enquiry. our voyage of observation with an open mind, open eyes,open mouth [to communicate to others less fortunate than me: who refuse to see to observe ]
if you draw trend lines you will observe, that the steep trendlines, when broken become less steep.
this is consistent with the theory that strong moves continue more slowly.
if we know this why draw trend lines?
this is to
measure the gradual change in the strength/momentum of the trend.
trends will continue but usually at a slower pace or momentum and that all trends start with a strong move that usually, eventually, slows down continuously.
if trend lines are drawn to new lows, in a bull, the trend lines will slope upwards but each trend line may be less steep than the other.
eventually there will be some which are horizontal and then the trend lines may start sloping down.do not forget you are drawing low to low, so this is clear indication that trend has changed.
also the trendline which will have the most touches will be one less steep. this is because that is the most sustainable speed of that trend.
that trend line will also be the one that will be tested usually twice.but sometimes more.
why do trend slow down slowly? this is because no seller wants to move the market down, she wants to continue to sell high, or buy low.