i watch the price action a little too closely and so see all the trades possible and what is worse actually take a few of them and over trade.
this is my problem and i have now realized it .
it is knowing too much and knowing everything that is the issue.
knowing too much can be as deadly, or worse, than knowing little.
if you know, only one or two setups, then you wait for those.
if you know 30 trading opportunities then you have a problem.
so in strong trend look for pb trades.
in trading ranges look for trendline breaks ,tests and reversals of the move for which the trend line broke.
ironically this is also the same as looking for reversals because , there is always a range, before a trend reverses.
it has a strong counter trend move that breaks a trend line and then a test of the extreme of the trend and then a reversal, and this price action is a trading range price action.
in trading price action the market breaks trend lines ,tests the extreme of the leg or swing and then reverses, but this reversal turns out to be another test.... and the whole process continues