--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from slacker:
Here is a small problem that I see with your reply. I will address one at a time...
1. 'only if you want to trade all traverses'
How do you know before the trade if you 'want' to trade that particular traverse? Did you 'want' to trade all of the traverses yesterday for example?
Thank you again
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Traverses: dominant vs. non-dominant. One follows the other. Non-dominant traverses often present themselves in the form of lateral movement. DOM, OTR and STR/SQU are the tools. If using ES and YM one's better off sitting it out. Do you want to trade traverse that is moving sideways if you can't use DOM, OTR and STR/SQU? There's plenty of material that discusses all these concepts here on ET.
Thank you, now we are cooking with steam!!!
So if one trades all of the traverses, they are always in the market and will make 3 * H-L range net for the day. Or, should they avoid taking all of the traverses and only take the 'good' traverses that they 'want' to take?
Can you always be in the market and still only trade the 'good' traverses? This may be the key!!!
Have you ever seen anyone stay always in the market the way you describe and then net 3 * H-L?
Thank you again.
slacker (green0 is asking a few Q's. and he is getting some answers topic by topic (blue) so he (slacker) bears down on the deeper concern of pool extrating the offer in the terminology of a multiple of the offer.
The three levels of annotating and doing MADA and learning haves names of forest, tree and branch.
A business plan is where the Excel Spread sheet goes and it is segmented by rows according to the skill segemnts of the process.
At first the plan only shows 1 contract for the time the learning trader is using his original capital. Ordinarily at this level 4 to 7 trades a day are done on the forest level.
This sheet started at 5 contracts and 10,000 dollars of margin.
And the focus of the Q's (green) is on the level of trees where traverses are the focal point of acquiring skills.
The intial capital is removed after the intial capital is doubled using 1 contract.
the remaining profits are still traded with only 1 contract until the capital is again doubled.
Then as time passes and learning occurs two things happen: more contracts are added as the right is earned by sufficient margin from profits and the skill level afforts the person the right to trade traverses. This means that the number of trades per day advances to up to 15 and there are approvimately 3 tree trades per forest segment (leg).
Sitting at 5 then 10 contracts for about 20 days each is a good idea because the trader gets to experience making money over the normal range of variation of trading days.
Lets look at slacker's experience and levels of knowledge and skills as he has stated them to us.
Slacker does not yet recognize how different types of trading days affect how profit taking segments work. Jem does just for contrast and so do the active contributors that are answering Q's.
By looking at several characterisitics of markets a person can see more or less when it is a good idea to execute trades during that day. More later.
slacker is also not familiar the relationship of information in the present and the information available in the near future that is coming into the present. These sets of information have been mentions but ignored by slacker. They do not get steam up for hi8m as yet.
what would it be like for jem to use the sweeps chart? well, it would move him from NOW (the present) to a place in the near term future where the branch aspect of trading 20 to 40 times a day. He does entry exit at a rate of 40 to 50 times a day or he did in the past and is now settling back to a better gross to net ratio of profits. All of this that jem has experienced is foreign to slacker.
"slow" days in CW trading are the most likely reversal days for traders. Fast days are usually "trending days for CW traders and there is no reversing done. This is forest level talk. the blue response centers on days between fast and slow, i. e., those days when non dominant traverses are more likely to be descretionary and often held through.
I posted three charts about the times of days and the related money velocity. These are charts (one is excel) that go in the trading plan and not the business plan.
slacker is business plan oriented primarily and he dips into the H-L of days to think about daily yield curves. A set of daily yield curves goes in the trading plan to express the shifts from one level of trading expertese to another. The status of these different yields is stuffed into the segmented rows of the Excel spread sheet to show how the column coefficients are adjusted within each skill based segment of the rows.
We see to get to the branch level from the forest level that the trading frequency shifts. Naturally, it shifts again as the branch level comes into play.
Within the tree level, at 15 trades a day there is a skill shift at one period that simply leads to an additional 15 points a day as a consequence of picking up one or two ticks at the end of each profit taking. There is no frequency increase but there is a stage of effectivenss increase that applies. Almost any trading methodcan adopt such an effectivenss increase.
So now we can take a look at the spread sheet and add a few details here and there. I think it is wise to use a points per day series of columns instead of just one. By looking at a column for each type of trade you get to see better how the increase of skills and trading frequency affects the business plan bottom line.
Those daily added 15 points from tree level effectiveness become more and more important as contracts are added.
There are forest trades only at the beginning. Then tree trades (traverses) enter the picture. Expert trading brings in the branch trading where these tapes (three per traverse) show up in a separate column. Some columns make less of a contribution as other columns begin to come into play.
Here is where it is found out how the H-L multiples come into being. 1 times the multiple is a shu-in it seems. by the time the traverses are traded the spad sheet goes past 2 times quite easily. Maybe by page 60 we will have a business plan coming inot being. I am going for 12 parts and the P&L will be in part 6.
As slacker says: Is this just playing with an excel sprad sheet in a business plan? The future projections are just playing and the past parts are the track record.
For me I liked running the allenhobbs one for those 5 weeks. I added columns as more info was provided and when it fially was screwed up by breaching the strategy it when into the ground because of stresses like fear, anxiety and anger.
How to build the the trading plan is even more important. Seeing how adding skills in the M to shift the trader from NOW to the near term future and have "anticipation" is the KEY skill that slacker says he doesn't have but is the one that turns up the steam for him. This is a puzzle for him because, as yet, he hasn't seen the markets.
As of now the Excel spread sheet took off the table whether or not making money is possible. The money is there to be made. skill is required and it comes from the unconscious to the concious if the mind is being fed a data stream. Slacker will have to modify his display at some point to begin to see the markets.