DT1 Swing Trading Journal

AAPL fall hard today. Did you follow your plan and took a small loss?

I. Got. Crushed.

I did not have a hard stop in.
And I wasn't here at the open.
I have not managed the trade well.

André
 
Quote from DT1:

Hi all,

I am so disapointed today. I could not follow the market and missed some nice picks. I could not take any position but if I could I would have bought SBL, HAIN and DRIV. The patterns look very promissing.

Did anyone here bought these stocks?

DT1

I notice your prefer high volume stock breakouts.. do a study on stocks breaking out of bases and trendlines.. on low volume... I did such a study and noticed for a swing trader 2-7 day hold time.. there makes very little difference... As of a while back.. I started to place no emphasis at all on volume.. I now strongly believe its a myth.

--MIKE
 
Mike,
So you pay no attention to volume what so ever? Do you trade stocks with very low volume? I personally don't feel comfortable trading low volumes stocks, I think it gives too much room for people to manipulate the price on a short term basis. One large order or some MM crap can cause you to be stopped out. I guess if you keep your stops wider, than you can filter the noize.
 
Quote from mars22:

Mike,
So you pay no attention to volume what so ever? Do you trade stocks with very low volume? I personally don't feel comfortable trading low volumes stocks, I think it gives too much room for people to manipulate the price on a short term basis. One large order or some MM crap can cause you to be stopped out. I guess if you keep your stops wider, than you can filter the noize.

I think you misunderstood what I was saying... Of course I trade liquid stocks that have volume.. because the slippage and spread will destroy me otherwise...

What I was trying to say is that I place no emphasis on volume as a predictive tool... Lets say KRON broke down on heavy volume or weak volume.. it wouldnt matter to me...

--MIKE
 
I'm looking at APOL for a swing trade monday. Price has been constricting at the high for a couple of weeks now. NR7 Friday will make for a nice tight stop. (Last weeks, weekly bar looks like an NR7 too.)

Thoughts?

Ed
 
Quote from ewile:

I'm looking at APOL for a swing trade monday. Price has been constricting at the high for a couple of weeks now. NR7 Friday will make for a nice tight stop. (Last weeks, weekly bar looks like an NR7 too.)

Thoughts?

Ed


Yes.. price is tightening near the highs in a wedge formation... Could break up or down from this wedge...

Personally I would avoid APOL at all costs.. look at each bar individually and you will notice how choppy this stock tends to be...

But if you wanna play the stock.. I would wait for a break of the wedge and play the direction of the breakout.

--MIKE
 
Quote from Trend Fader:



I notice your prefer high volume stock breakouts.. do a study on stocks breaking out of bases and trendlines.. on low volume... I did such a study and noticed for a swing trader 2-7 day hold time.. there makes very little difference... As of a while back.. I started to place no emphasis at all on volume.. I now strongly believe its a myth.

--MIKE

Hi Mike,

I trade stocks with average volume above 250 000 shares/day and at the moment I focus on stocks trading at least 1.5 times above average volume. I noticed that I get better signals when price action is confirmed by volume.

For now most of my picks are breakouts. But I am also looking for stocks which are getting out of a consolidation period like SBL and DRIV. I would not normally take the DRIV trade because volume is not high enough. But it is going to be interesting to follow the stock.

DT1
 
Quote from Trend Fader:




APOL
But if you wanna play the stock.. I would wait for a break of the wedge and play the direction of the breakout.

--MIKE

I agree with you. This stock could either breakout or consolidate. I would also wait for the start of the move.

DT1
 
Quote from mars22:

If anyone is interested I'm currently short NSCN and LRCX. I'm more biased on the short side. I'm watching the $VIX closely to confirm the next down move.


Matthew Frailey does a great job at finding nice set ups.
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/Favorites.CServlet?obj=ID369857&cmd=show[s11617603]&disp=O

WTEL on his list looks good.

Hi Mars,

LRCX is a nice pick. This is the sort of breakouts I like to play. The only reason I did not spot it is that there is not significant increase on volume. I hope it will turn out to be a profitable trade for you.

On NSCN you are against the trend. It seems more risky to me, isn't it?. I am curious to know where you put your stop???

DT1
 
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