You might have something... or you might not.
Your overall performance stats (average win vs average loss, and win ratio) are good, but will you be able to continuously achieve these? And a simple mean doesn't tell the whole story.
Some things that could be problematic:
1. Long losing streaks. Having losing streaks of ~10 is not desirable. If losing streaks of 10 commonly happen, then it's likely you will experience longer losing streaks in the future. However, it is good that you've kept your losers small.
2. The majority of your profit is made with a handful of trades.
3. Some of your wins are very small and could be considered scratch trades, meaning your practical win rate is less than 49%.
4. Were realistic spreads/commissions applied?
Factoring in points 2, 3, and 4, your expectancy is probably not as good as it seems at face value. But if you were able to consistenty achieve 1% net per week, that would still be worthwhile
Interested to see how you do during the next two weeks.
Last edited:
