As Pragmatic points out, the recovery is more like a point at which we will stop and stagnate.
This doesn't mean there won't be stock market volatility. The SEC has been actively creating market distortions which increase the probability of stock market bubbles and the Fed is recreating the interest rate policy that fueled the credit bubble. So, yeah, we may be going up in the short term with the same kind of "recovery" we had after the 2001 recession - i.e., not a recovery but a bubble. Given the giant deficit, the rigidity introduced by all the government Czars and new regulation, when whatever bubble the government creates this time bursts, we may be longing for the good ole' days of the 1930's recession.
Personally, I think that people who were burned by the stock market in 2001 threw everything into the housing market instead. Now, that's burst, they seem to be coming back to the stock market - and no price is too high to pay. Risk? What's that?
This doesn't mean there won't be stock market volatility. The SEC has been actively creating market distortions which increase the probability of stock market bubbles and the Fed is recreating the interest rate policy that fueled the credit bubble. So, yeah, we may be going up in the short term with the same kind of "recovery" we had after the 2001 recession - i.e., not a recovery but a bubble. Given the giant deficit, the rigidity introduced by all the government Czars and new regulation, when whatever bubble the government creates this time bursts, we may be longing for the good ole' days of the 1930's recession.
Personally, I think that people who were burned by the stock market in 2001 threw everything into the housing market instead. Now, that's burst, they seem to be coming back to the stock market - and no price is too high to pay. Risk? What's that?
