Dow to gold ratio

I recently purchased an iPhone app that may be of help to you. The app is called Dow in Gold. It's pretty cool, compares the Dow to Gold and updates realtime.
 
If the history repeats, there is ONLY two possibilities.

Either gold goes up to 10K or DOW drops to 12K. I think if 1:1 ratio is going to happen, it would be meeting in the middle of the road.

I still believe that 5000K gold is achievable in my life time. And we have witnessed how DOW was so close to 5000K during last recession.

5000K gold vs 5000 DOW

I WOULD LOVE THAT!
 
Quote from kubchaser:

If the history repeats, there is ONLY two possibilities.

Either gold goes up to 10K or DOW drops to 12K. I think if 1:1 ratio is going to happen, it would be meeting in the middle of the road.

I still believe that 5000K gold is achievable in my life time. And we have witnessed how DOW was so close to 5000K during last recession.

5000K gold vs 5000 DOW

I WOULD LOVE THAT!

That would be the buying (stocks) and shorting (gold) opportunity of a lifetime.

I would love it if that happened.
 
Quote from clacy:

That would be the buying (stocks) and shorting (gold) opportunity of a lifetime.

I would love it if that happened.

And when that happens, make sure you are not holding US dollars.
 
Quote from peilthetraveler:

I rounded the numbers YTD for May back to 2001 and here is what I get for Dow/gold ratios.(How many ounces of gold to buy the dow. I rounded down on the oz ratio and even numbers on the dow & gold so there is a slight variance in the final #s (because im that lazy)


May 2001 10,900 $270 40 oz
May 2002 9700 $310 31 oz
May 2003 8500 $350 24 oz
May 2004 10000 $380 26 oz
May 2005 10400 $420 24 oz
May 2006 11000 $680 16 oz
May 2007 13000 $665 19 oz
May 2008 12500 $880 14 oz
May 2009 8500 $920 9 oz
May 2010 10926 $1168 9 oz

Now as you can see there are alot of swing downs in the gold/dow ratio of 20% or more some years and some years it stays the same or close and then moves big. If we continue down this road, its logical to assume that this time next year if we see the dow at 13,000 gold will surely be about $1,800. If the Dow drops to 9,000 gold will go to $1,250(this is all speculation based on a 20% move in the gold/dow ratio.)

Ah...remember a few years ago when we said $600 gold was expensive? 3 years from now, we will say $1,200 gold was cheap.

And now...dow is 9931 and gold is $1220 with a dow to gold ratio of 8.14 oz to 1. Getting very close to the gold/dow ratio in march of '09 when the dow was 6500 and gold was $900.
 
Quote from peilthetraveler:

And now...dow is 9931 and gold is $1220 with a dow to gold ratio of 8.14 oz to 1. Getting very close to the gold/dow ratio in march of '09 when the dow was 6500 and gold was $900.

At that time the ratio was 7.22 to 1. As of right now, its 7.98. Dow is 9650 and gold is $1210.

This means that if today gold was still $900 per oz, the Dow would be just under 7200. That is just to give you an idea of how bad things really are.
 
Quote from peilthetraveler:

I rounded the numbers YTD for May back to 2001 and here is what I get for Dow/gold ratios.(How many ounces of gold to buy the dow. I rounded down on the oz ratio and even numbers on the dow & gold so there is a slight variance in the final #s (because im that lazy)


May 2001 10,900 $270 40 oz
May 2002 9700 $310 31 oz
May 2003 8500 $350 24 oz
May 2004 10000 $380 26 oz
May 2005 10400 $420 24 oz
May 2006 11000 $680 16 oz
May 2007 13000 $665 19 oz
May 2008 12500 $880 14 oz
May 2009 8500 $920 9 oz
Today 10926 $1168 9 oz

Now as you can see there are alot of swing downs in the gold/dow ratio of 20% or more some years and some years it stays the same or close and then moves big. If we continue down this road, its logical to assume that this time next year if we see the dow at 13,000 gold will surely be about $1,800. If the Dow drops to 9,000 gold will go to $1,250(this is all speculation based on a 20% move in the gold/dow ratio.)

Ah...remember a few years ago when we said $600 gold was expensive? 3 years from now, we will say $1,200 gold was cheap.



Traveler, you really are a dumbass with your slovenly work. Assinine, hovine, bovine would be putting it mildly, but I remember you well (in a good way) from my first days at ET in the Politics forum, so for this time only, I'll do your work for you :) :D

----------------------------

Dow versus Gold = Dow/Gold for the dummies here :) gives a whole lot more valuable data than Traveler just fired sparks out his ass.

Study the chart carefully for the looong HISTORY of how the Nominal Dow (Dow priced in US$) follows the Dow/Gold (Dow priced in ounces of Gold)

Dow/Gold has ALWAYS warned of a crash. See the massive drop in Dow/Gold in 1966? The corresponding effect on the Nominal Dow is either a similar crash as occurred for the GREAT DEPRESSION in 1929 or a massive sideways consolidation aka TRIANGLE from 1966-1982.

Now fast forward to the current decade. Do you dig now that the BEARmarket began in 1999 (or Jan 14, 2000 the top of the nominal Dow). See the Dow/Gold topped in 1999 and the persistent crash ever since - while the Nominal Dow came down but then went up again into the 2007 top? This massive divergence = nonconfirmation is like a fckin hellestial magnet that is going to pull the Dow down.

Is this starting to get thru' your thick skulls now, morons? You dummies are playing with FIRE and are asleep at the wheel bigtime.

For your homework, examine how foolhardy it has been to invest in the Dow for the last 10 years.

There's a whole lot more to be gotten from this chart by going down into monthly/weekly/daily ..........




Uploaded with ImageShack.us
 
Quote from peilthetraveler:

That is just to give you an idea of how bad things really are.


Yeah baby, take that IDEA, then multiply it by e squared - then add a few zeroes in sets of 3, take the decimal place and fling it out the window, then add more zeroes and maybe you will have a clue as to how bad things really are ...

but you can in the meantime see only the beginning of what Dow priced in Gold is told-ing, telling, foretelling ...

my yearly chart of Dow Jones from 1800 onwards (see below) had me stumped for months as I just couldn't figure out the true structure. Well, thanks to the great Bobby, a fellow thoroughly despised here at Retard Central, but to me is most likely the most intelligent market practitioner in existence - he provided the missing data by combining British stock prices and splicing that with US data. Voila! Everything cleared up for me.

my chart first, then bobby's ........




Uploaded with ImageShack.us

-----------------------------

Bobby's chart showing the data from the 1700s that I was missing




Uploaded with ImageShack.us


----------------------------------

Listen up clowns, :)

just put away all your indicators, your stupid nanotimeframe charts, just sit back and look at PRICE on bobby's chart ... :)

can you not see that the 1700-1780 correction is ONE COMPLETE PACKAGE and that ALL the giant rise that occurred since then is ALL ONE PACKAGE too? Well, if you dig this, then you must see that the current correction will at the very least be commensurate with that of 1700-1780.


Another clue to tax your nobody-home minds is to just count the # of prosperity/depression moves starting from the 1780 low and you will see that that entire move is a clear 5-wave move. After a 5-er, shit happens. Count on it!! :)
 
for traveler .......... its only beginning

extracts, simply copy and pasted for your edification ....


"The small southern California city of Maywood has hit on a unique solution to its budget crisis. Crushed by the recession and falling tax revenues, the city is disbanding its police force and firing all public sector employees." (Financial Times, June 28)

Maywood is not the only California town with money problems. CNBC just reported that Oakland has cut 80 police officers. Vallejo, a city of 120,000, will trim its police force by 17 -- after it already let go 41 officers. Vallejo policemen earn an average salary of $122,000; the town went bankrupt in 2008.

And you may remember the March announcement of the Kansas City school superintendent: he plans to "shutter" nearly half of the district's schools"




Uploaded with ImageShack.us





Uploaded with ImageShack.us
 
Back
Top