Dr Steph - you are correct. the poor blokes are the "fringes".
the interesting thing is that many of those fringe people are not even "poor". they don't look, act , or spend "poor"
how many of the people who are truly on the fringes of the credit treadmill is what I'm afraid of.
Here is an example of this months change, using a stereotypical bad case: a maxed out person w/ 30,000 in cc , plus student loans, etc. and a 1,800 per month take home job (approx30/yr).
sound pretty bad right?(I know someone like this that I am helping w/ the change over) and this person looks perfectly normal, professional, educated, etc.
numbers are rough est.
old law:
30k in cc = 600/mo pmt. when month is done = 200 free credit line.
New law:
30k = 1200/mo payment. when month is done = 800 free credit line.
The advice to her just to deal w/ the situation = use credit for just about everything! from rent to gas to food, car payments, etc.. She really has no choice. This per se, won't necissarily run her cards up, she will revolve faster though and be mindful of the ongoing balance.
this person (and everyone else out there who can) need only juggle and change payment habits once in order to get through the revolving door. this might actually work out to be a good thing for her, b/c she has now become commited to understanding the credit cards and has a better way to keep track of where the money is going. Additionally this person is going to WMT more rather than Malls and Expensive Grocery stores. she is shopping for discounts and doing 2-for-1 frozen dinner deals instead of the being blind in the shopping process. All in all she is becoming a savy consumer b/c the credit card is a now a very uncomfortable size payment.
Its pretty fair to say, the kind of person running big cc balances really wasn't going to pay it off over twenty years under current rules, and does NOT have to pay it off over 10 years under new rules they can just keep turning the debt over.
"The quick and damaging reality" will be for the people who don't change quickly or are in much more over their head than my example above(which is pretty bad!). Again, I'm afraid of that shake out, its total BS like when they made credit card interest not tax deductible, - yup anyone recall it used to be deductible?! before my time though.
For many they will simly be using credit cards more, for all the things they might normally use cash. example- small lunches, telephone bills, energy bills, rent, bar tabs, etc. these revolving credit users will simply revolve the credit faster.