Don't read me wrong, am high percentages long uptrend dividend stocks and when patterns shows very possible reversals, equity is hedged. Now currently weekly charts on Indexes are showing January 2018, we had quite a retracement, fully expect retracement soon. Come April, I been selling Index futures/hedged nearly 3 years ago, ahead of the game doing. But who cannot see distance between price and 40ma on weekly chart? When there is too wide of a difference..... I remember all soothsayers yell take out mortgages to plow into stock market is near death.
"GET RICH" an illusion, rich has different definitions for everyone, mine is when we experience another 911, I am well funded as I was when last occurred, meaning of zero debt, cash socked away and not in a bank, people do not realize there is just an average of $500 cash per American in real bills, money is loaned out dozens of times, and if banks ever fail, banks be closed, ATM's be empty, best to triple the amount of emergency cash to have in case of layoffs and plan in place how to reduce life structure if this would happen.
I am not doom or gloom, I am reality, and unlike another, this can be tested as in reversion to the mean in the least. You check out the volume/open interest is declining, pro's checking out/taking profit. This is not Rocket Science. I don't watch TV/ nor Youtubes nor newspapers from USA as all slated to dems way of thinking.
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ok I like this post, except 1 thing - reversion to mean is a statistical and logical fallacy. the data points drive the mean, not the other way around... you can graph a series of random numbers and you may or may not see reversion to mean.
what is the mean position of the continents... they have never reversed to mean because the tectonic plates have never reversed.
and I said before - this is a tectonic shift, going permanently to a low yield environment where the SP earning yield going to 3% which means 33 P/E which means 5000 fair value... even that 3% may get chased lower because the 10 year is at 1.8
and the market action is shouting so loud I am a bit surprised tbh so few people are seeing this.

