Doom or BOOM ??

I hear a lot of doom, mostly around the fed and other people hating Trump.
But, rumor isn't everything.

What do you fellows think is coming over the next several years, both for the economy and the stock market? How confident are you?

%% Somewhat concerned , Mr book it ,about stupid Senators-Smoot HawlyTariff/trade war again; ACA TRAINWRECK, but its still a bull-market[ up-trending] market you know?? Target stock is in a 2 year Bear market all ready past 2 years /200 dma. Frankly we are so overdue for a bear market, I'm not worried about it@ all-too bad for TGT.............................................................................NOT a prediction.
 
No one knows. It's best not to try to predict using logic and events, partly because it's an exercise in trying to convince yourself you are right--not a good attitude for a trader to be adopting.

I will say what I think I can predict, which is I doubt our lawmakers will be able to agree on a tax bill or a health care bill. How that will affect any markets, who knows.
 
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An economy that's teetering around the 2% mark warrants rate hikes? Current estimate by AtlantaGDPNow for Q1 is 1.3%, although that will change by month's end.

What's the real reason for the hike: 1) they're following a measure (LIBOR, short term bonds, whatever) and would like to stick with that, 2) Yellen and some on the board are Hillary fans and hiking rates...... 3) they want to get out in front of the next recession (moronic but these people probably think like that).
 
I apologize for late reply,not subscribing to threads,I like to go where my eyes take me :)
Did not mean to ignore you

http://www.suredividend.com/aapl-warren-buffett/


"Notably, Buffett himself isn't an iPhone user. When asked about his technology investments, he whipped out a flip phone from his coat pocket.
"

http://www.investors.com/news/buffett-explains-why-berkshire-bought-apple-may-stop-airline-buys/
Not a problem.

Buffett never said he would sell the AAPL shares. Also, the size of the investment means it was a Buffett call, not that of his underlings like your article said.

Regards,
 
An economy that's teetering around the 2% mark warrants rate hikes? Current estimate by AtlantaGDPNow for Q1 is 1.3%, although that will change by month's end.

What's the real reason for the hike: 1) they're following a measure (LIBOR, short term bonds, whatever) and would like to stick with that, 2) Yellen and some on the board are Hillary fans and hiking rates...... 3) they want to get out in front of the next recession (moronic but these people probably think like that).


2% growth is neutral. 0% interest rates are stimulative.
You 're supposed to have neutral interest rates with neutral growth.
But if you think that Fed mandate is inflation and employment and not GDP
and inflation is above neutral, and full employment

So rate hikes are very logical. They should ve reached 3% long ago
 
What's the real reason for the hike: 1) they're following a measure (LIBOR, short term bonds, whatever) and would like to stick with that, 2) Yellen and some on the board are Hillary fans and hiking rates...... 3) they want to get out in front of the next recession (moronic but these people probably think like that).
Myvote is #2. They want to cause a crash so they can blame Trump for it and try to use it to win the next election.
 
The market and billionaires are going to do great in the coming years, as is the U.S. economy. Trumps buddies will do very well, but the laid off workers who voted for him, not so good. The boys and girls killed in Trumps wars won't have to worry about a thing. The champagne corks have already been popped at Lockheed, Martin Marietta, Boeing and Raytheon. The damage done won't be evident for years. But of course some good will come out of the chaos. If we really do eliminate 2 regulations for every new one, which remains to be seen, that could be beneficial. The devil, as always, is in the details. Those who keep a high-paying job and do well will love the "new reality." Every "ism" has its day. Will there be blood in the streets? And if so, whose? The problem with trying to predict the outcome of lies is that although one can reliably predict what won't happen -- Mexico won't pay for a Wall -- one has no idea of what will. We live in interesting times.

Eliminating regulations . . .

This worries me. Sounds like a communist ploy. Convince the leadership to buy into it, then use the minions to eliminate all the GOOD regulations and keep the bad ones.
 
Eliminating regulations . . .

This worries me. Sounds like a communist ploy. Convince the leadership to buy into it, then use the minions to eliminate all the GOOD regulations and keep the bad ones.
Well, as I was very careful to point out, The devil is in the details. You are right to be worried. A simple Trump directive to eliminate two regulations for each new one runs the same risk as his other shoot from the hip orders! Instead you have to appoint a competent, i.e., experienced, review committee that works to well thought out guidelines. Then you avoid chaos by not too hastily eliminating needed regulations. I think he has appointed Kushner to head up this process, but God help us if Kushner doesn't listen to more experienced hands.

The problem with trying to predict the outcome of lies is that although one can reliably predict what won't happen -- Mexico won't pay for a Wall -- one has no idea of what will.
 
The Dow will hit 50,000 by the end of Trumps first term. Mortgage interest rates will go up to 7.5 or 8%, but home prices will stay the same as they are today. Average income will be about $75-$80k per year vs the $56k it is today. Millennials who have no investments and are renters will be hurting by then and want Trump out more than ever. They will be going apeshit, no doubt. Gen Z'ers who will just be starting to vote, will see how well their Gen x parents have done and vote republican so they can have more of the same.
 
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