Does it ever make sense to fade the opening strategy? Here's why I ask: Today I was filled OO shorting MO, reasoning that because it moved something like 5 std. dev. yesterday, it was unlikely to do anything like that today. Well, it opened gap up and didn't look back. Though I sensed trouble almost instantly, the best I could do was a 25-cent loss.
But in trying to get a lesson out of this experience, I started to think about whether alternative OO strategies might be appropriate when a stock has moved several std. dev. the day before.
Question: Does it ever make sense to turn the usual OO strategy on its head after a big move? In other words, buy the thing OO anticipating a gap-up opening with follow through or sell it OO anticipating a gap down? If the stock opened somewhere within the previous day's range, you would just try to exit the position immediately. Ditto if it did not immediately follow through in the first few minutes.
Comments?
But in trying to get a lesson out of this experience, I started to think about whether alternative OO strategies might be appropriate when a stock has moved several std. dev. the day before.
Question: Does it ever make sense to turn the usual OO strategy on its head after a big move? In other words, buy the thing OO anticipating a gap-up opening with follow through or sell it OO anticipating a gap down? If the stock opened somewhere within the previous day's range, you would just try to exit the position immediately. Ditto if it did not immediately follow through in the first few minutes.
Comments?
