https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/15/moodys-trump-on-his-way-to-an-easy-2020-win-if-economy-holds-up.html
Trump is on his way to an easy win in 2020, according to Moody’s accurate election model
President Donald Trump looks likely to cruise to reelection next year under three different economic models Moody’s Analytics employed to gauge the 2020 race.
Barring anything unusual happening, the president’s Electoral College victory could easily surpass his 2016 win over Democrat Hillary Clinton, which came by a 304-227 count.
"Barring anything unusual happening"
That paper was published in September B1.
Anything unusual?
I don't know, perhaps the biggest diplomatic and military blunder to date since Bush went into Iraq? Even Lindsey Graham is jumping ship.
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