Quote from Pa(b)st Prime:
Trump is like most of Elite America. Well educated, moneyed, connected, articulate and 25pts too shy in I.Q. to grasp emerging trends lurking under the surface.
If in Trump's view it was so clear that Bush, Iraq, oil prices and whatever additional phantom forces in play were detrimental to growth then why was Trump expanding his development empire. Trump projects were "the high is in" sentiment indicator unto themselves. If you drive down Collins Avenue from Sunny Isle to Miami Beach you pass square feet measured in literally the millions of over priced, under subscribed Trump condomania.
Bubbles have a fairly simple cause. Productivity gains spur wealth. Wealth then enables credit expansion. As the economic cycle rises liquidity begins to outpace viable enterprises. Cash abundant investors chase crappier and crappier risk adjusted returns. As the inevitable failures occur the express elevator on the way up becomes the express elevator on the way down.
How did Bernanke, Greenspan, King etal attempt to deal with the market's proper adjustments? By throwing even MORE gasoline into the fire. Lunacy.
Actually most of these projects, Trump just attaches his name. Developers will pay him for the right to call it the "Trump Towers" or "Trump Condos" or whatever. He gets the money and takes none of the risk and does none of the work. Pretty smart business model.
Trump sucks at operating businesses, one of his casino operations went bust *during the boom*. But he is great at branding and marketing himself.