Dollar LONG stance but hold trigger till ...

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Quote from TradeViper:

Dead you seem to have an emotional attachment to the $, trade the action not your feelings. I believe the EWI site was calling for a short somewere in here also, they were wrong. Also 15000 is sticky so price might hover around this area for a while.




The Ever Trading The Price Action VIPER


Yes, the emotional attachment is because I'm looking for the 1-2 yr long + actual non-traded $ holdings to not be blown to bits ..

Whilst here at ET I hope to get good enough to trade on 60-min., then I'll go Long or Short with equal abandon.
 
Quote from Pippi436:

I dont get your trend projection. You would need a lower low or at least a double-top or something before thinking about short?


Double-top fired August 2008. Major trend reversal occurred then.

This current EurUsd rally is a bearmarket rally. Primary trend is down.

All I'm trying to do is to catch the next leg down.
 
Quote from deadbroke:

EurUsd short pend 1 full Lot @ 1.48001 STOP = 1.4930 .......... 10-min. ago

reason for this:

DX could fire any moment. Since he has generated a new low, Euro might do the same (new high) which would close out my 3 positions and then if reversal occurs, it would leave me high and dry and ticked off.

So, by my reaoning, if there is a genuine reversal the wave low of the horiz. congestion on 1H EurUsd has to be taken out southbound. Stop is above the pattern.

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just modified this pend to 1 mL instead of 1 full Lot

so should read ...

EurUsd short pend 1 mL @ 1.48001 STOP = 1.4930
 
Quote from deadbroke:

EurUsd Short pend 1 mL @ 1.49646 STOP = 1.5066 ....

2 min. ago


Triggered.

Now I have 4 active ongoing shorts. Stops for all 4 are identical at 1.5066 as before.
 
Quote from deadbroke:

EurUsd 60-min. chart showing my Stop level and the pre-need 88.3% Fib level.

4H chart ... different view, different message ... for me to live, the 5th subwave must fail shy of my Stop level.

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The before and after of the 4H move showing the failed 5th sub-wave. More thoughts on this in next post.




 
So far so good. No change to positions. All as-is.

1H bi-left shoulder so not so perfect H&S target = N-(H-N) = minimum target hit within 3-7 pips.

Awaiting further action to see if we get a full 5 waves down on 1H and/or 4H.

Then of course, Daily chart Nov 3rd and Oct 1st lows have to be taken out and that's when I don't look back no more.

Until these things occur I am as always totally clueless, one paycheck away from the Salvation Army.
 
There are so many rarities happening in my life that I don't know whether I'm coming or going.

First, a wave 2 (if it really is so = needs more time to confirm) blasting past 61.8%, 78.6%, 88.3% and then reversing just shy of or = 100% is like I said, rare, rare, rare.

Then on 4H a failed 5th sub-wave that fails to hit the top converging channel line is another infrequent occurrence. Normally for this type of action there should have been a throwover.

Reassuring though is the fact that thus far the pattern calls for a minm. move to the start of the diagonal triangle base and we got that in spades - ditto for H&S on 1H.

There's no meat on the Daily so I'm forced to throw darts at realtime which I don't know doodly about.
 
2rfuirs.jpg
 
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