Quote from mrstocker:
From my observations:
price up/volume up near resistance = do not short
price up/volume up past resistance = breakout
price up/volume down = consolidation or reversal
price down/volume up =
price down/volume down =
Above two are better figured out based on how many are sold at bid and how many at ask.
What I can't phantom is that how/why are large blocks sold/bought after hours. Who is behind this?
Up past resistance? Hmmm, explain to me FALSE break outs. It will establish a "new" resistance point, but aren't we striving for extraction of profit?
. I've got an abundance of charts with a breakout that reverted back into a triangle. My opinion, the sharper the break up, the weaker it is technically. In other words distribution. Give me a quiet breakout (low volume) anyday.
Volume without price progress (up or down) is churn. Order flow.
Blocks do not have to occur afterhours. In fact, for the most part they don't. Simple concept. A institution with a large position, irrespective of profit or loss wants out (or in) without "moving" the market. He confers with a specialist or wire house. They carry it as inventory (either blended or aside from their day to day inventory) for a fee. Been that way for decades if not a century. Pools, before being outlawed, same concept but not "official" as the specialist is.
Lurking overhead supply or latent demand.
My point was there's a distinction/delay between both END parties, and making published volume figures less than precise.
