Does Probability exist?

Without good probabilities, it is a pure gamble, for many the stock market is a casino.

With knowledge of correct timing and study of cycles you can increase your probability of winning. time and cycles are the Key!
 
probability is like a perfect storm. it does exist in varying levels depending upon your ability, circumstances (luck) and willingness to accept the gift when presented. without this mix firing on all cylinders your stuck like a broken record "but past events". perfect storm participants are not hanging around anymore forcing acceptance of gifts here on et. the owner of this board and the mods have made sure of that and fucked it up for all of you.
 
Predicting exact stock market future Highs and Lows has been my passion and mission, but for many it is often futile, if not impossible. However, the probabilities increase with the right Timing and cycle tools. It is of course never an easy task. There are always many various Times and Cycles to consider that tips the scales either way. It is not only unique Time Change in Trends (CIT) that predict a market turn within +/-1 day that needs to be considered, but various precise Cycles, that predict exact Highs and Lows, +/-1 day, for both intraday and daily. I also take into account high probability Market Statistics, Elliott waves, Master Time Codes, etc. etc. The main goal for anyone should be is to find those high probability outcomes, otherwise we might just as well be in Las Vegas Casino
 
I don't agree at all and will show you why:
I have a list of figures and ask you if you can predict the next figure. The answer will be probably that it is impossible to predict the next outcome.

124
1330,785053
-4008,196198
-2066,517015
-1574,077766
221,5751715
????

What is interesting now is the question: why did you come to the conclusion that it is impossible to predict the next outcome? The answer is that YOU see no relation whatsoever in this serie of figures. And you are correct. To YOU it is impossible to make any prediction and it looks like everything changes all the time randomly.

I can however make with 100% certainty a prediction for the next figure. Why? Because I have more information, information that you don't have. I see the formulas that leads to the next result.
View attachment 152279

So people come to conclusions based on knowledge. No knowlegde means no result, having the needed knowledge will lead to the correct result. In markets knowledge is important too. You maybe have no clue why the market does do something, but maybe someone else has knowledge to know what will happen. Markets cannot move each time in a way that never occured before, because that would lead to an endless number of different moves. If you can find basic patterns in all these moves you have knowledge that others don't have. That makes the difference between a profitable trader and a losing one.

Trading is constantly solving one problem: where will the market go?
If you don't know the cause of the problem, you cannot solve it. First try to find the cause, and second try to find a solution for the problem.

This posting got already 9 likes. Because most postings never get so many likes it confirms to me that what I wrote is supported by many traders. That means too that marketsurfers reaction was completely wrong. For me it was already clear from the beginning, but because I never think that I am always right (what some other posters do think about all their postings), I appreciate opinions from other members to see if I was right or wrong.
 
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This time I with you.
Platitudes is to make you feel good, no one (even the institutional) are able to use this. :)

Thanks, happy someone sees the light here. I finally realized, after extracting tremendous value from this site, that the anonymous parotbot "teachers" here are mostly losers in real life just trying to make themselves feel better by attracting more people to the wrong road that sounds so good, but is soooo wrong. Maybe they are CNBC shutins living fantasy lives or other ne'eerdowells and have no malicious intent. I have no clue. But it its sad however u look at it.
 
because I never think that I am always right (what some other posters do think about all their postings), I appreciate opinions from other members to see if I was right or wrong.

You may want to limit that to members who are actually successful traders . . .
 
Without good probabilities, it is a pure gamble, for many the stock market is a casino.

With knowledge of correct timing and study of cycles you can increase your probability of winning. time and cycles are the Key!

Where's the testing and math that backs this up? You cant use terms like probabilities without extensive testing. Post the test, please, or this is nothing but feeel gooood platitudes. Surf
 
This posting got already 9 likes. Because most postings never get so many likes it confirms to me that what I wrote is supported by many traders. That means too that marketsurfers reaction was completely wrong. For me it was already clear from the beginning, but because I never think that I am always right (what some other posters do think about all their postings), I appreciate opinions from other members to see if I was right or wrong.

Man, you are letting me down. Im bored sitting on the beach--- myst traders lose, so whenever u get many agreeing with u, the premise is just another feel good platitude impossible to act upon or guaranteed to lose if u can.
 
that the anonymous parotbot "teachers" here are mostly losers in real life just trying to make themselves feel better by attracting more people to the wrong road that sounds so good, but is soooo wrong

Can you tell me how you know that I am a loser in real life? Am I male or female? Where do I live? How old am I? How long do I trade? Did you see my statements?
On all these questions your answer should be NO. But it would not surprise that you would answer YES.
With the arguments you post nobody can take you serious any more.

You are not market surfer, you are the market smurf.


the-smurfs.jpg
 
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