Does a winning strategy have to work in all markets ?

Quote from lindq:

Of course it doesn't. There is absolutely no reason to expect a mechanical system to perform with the same efficiency in every market.

Our confliction is within the bolded text. You are right with regards to the same efficiency. But a strategy that is losing buckets of dollars in one market and making loads in another is questionable at best.

If you cannot determine why that is happening the majority of the time it is because the strategy is overly fitted to one market.
 
YES - I use the same system all markets - from scalping to position trading - and yes it works in any market anywhere in the world and beauty is there is very little difference between the dollar amounts put at risk but over time position trades( mostly from 1 week to 6weeks trades) tend to pay the rent whilst scalping and day trading keeps me amused.
 
Quote from TraderZones:

Quote from M Jared:

I have recently been successfully trading for 7 months after 4 years of back testing,6 months of forward testing and now 7 months of actual trading

what are your FORWARD TESTING+ ACTUAL TRADING statistics? Your Sharpe/Sortino? Your Profit Factor? Your drawdown? Etc??? [and for all of these, I mean AFTER all commissions, slippage, fees, taxes, etc.] Successful is based on Risk-Adjusted Reward, after factoring in all costs.

Successful means nothing without analyzing your trading to see if it is realistic.

How many trades do you generate? What size account have you risked? I do not consider your words here as meaning you are "successful." Past performance does not necessarily...

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Thank you for your reply Traderzones

In the past 7 months I turned 1,000 into 7,000

These are screen shots of parts of my last 4 monthly statements, that should answer most of your questions.This is all of my personal info from my statements that I am comfortable sharing online

I started off live trading with a 1,000 trading 1 contract, now I trade 2-4.This is a small account but it is just a learning/confirming that my system works account.

i have been working on my current system for 2 years and am considering taking out a mortgage on my house to trade with a 100,000 account.I have backtested my system by hand the past 4 years and every year has brought over 200 % returns.I can live comfortably off of 100,000 a year as I currently make 40,000 on my current full time job

I have read that liquidity and slippage becomes an issue with the YM when trading more then 20 contracts which is why i started to test on other markets.As I said my system does poorly on individual stocks .My system does well on crude,gas and heating oil futures though



























 
Quote from TraderZones:

Quote from M Jared:

I have recently been successfully trading for 7 months after 4 years of back testing,6 months of forward testing and now 7 months of actual trading

what are your FORWARD TESTING+ ACTUAL TRADING statistics? Your Sharpe/Sortino? Your Profit Factor? Your drawdown? Etc??? [and for all of these, I mean AFTER all commissions, slippage, fees, taxes, etc.] Successful is based on Risk-Adjusted Reward, after factoring in all costs.

Successful means nothing without analyzing your trading to see if it is realistic.

How many trades do you generate? What size account have you risked? I do not consider your words here as meaning you are "successful." Past performance does not necessarily...


I am seriously thinking about making a career out of this but have some worries because by system doesn't work on all markets

You are getting way ahead of yourself. We are in epic times. Quitting a good job to "make a career out of this" is the last thing
you should do. Do you have TWO YEARS COMPLETE LIVING EXPENSES PUT AWAY? Otherwise, you will learn the definition of "scared money."


I trade the YM,but back testing on individual stocks doesn't nearly match the success of trading my system on the YM.

The indexes often behave differently than stocks or futures.

I have read that a good system should work on all markets as supply and demand doesn't change by market.

Not necessarily true. And don't rely on what you read. Rely on what you do with your trading.

I have also read many traders say that markets are different and many focus on one or a few markets to trade at most

Yes and no. And don't rely on what you read. Rely on what you do with your trading.

Still waiting for proof of your system and trackrecord. You don't trade, so you shouldn't give advice asswipe....
 
Quote from thetrendfollowe:

I agree with South Beach.

Trackstar - I understand what you are saying but there are many many ways to test for robustness and to avoid curve fitting.

And when did I ever mention curb fitting ??
 
Quote from trackstar:

I would say it needs to perform well on the majority of markets. :)

It depends on the input-parameters of your strategy.
If other instruments are involved (like Dollar-index, Oil, Bonds or what ever), it will not work (or as a contra indicator).
 
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